2026 Topps Chrome Baseball Odds

2026 · Pull rates by box type

2026 Topps Chrome Baseball

Pull Odds by Card Group

See the odds of pulling each card group in 2026 Topps Chrome Baseball. Odds vary by box type — select a box below to see exact pull rates for that configuration. Orange rows are odds of 1:10 or better.

Filter by box type
Card GroupCategoryCardsOdds% Chance
Base Cards
Base
300
1:4
25.0%
Refractor
1:4
25.0%
X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Prism Refractor
Not Available
—
Red White and Blue Refractor
1:8
12.5%
Baseball Seams Refractor
1:8
12.5%
Topps Refractor
Not Available
—
Raywave Refractor
1:8
12.5%
Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Negative Refractor
1:373
0.268%
Pink Refractor
1:603
0.166%
Aqua Refractor
1:752
0.133%
Aqua Raywave Refractor
1:143
0.699%
Aqua X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Blue Refractor
1:1,000
0.100%
Blue Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Blue Raywave Refractor
1:190
0.526%
Blue X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Blue Topps Refractor
Not Available
—
Green Refractor
1:1,519
0.066%
Green Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Green X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Green Raywave Refractor
1:288
0.347%
Green Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Topps 75th Anniversary
1:2,002
0.050%
Purple Refractor
1:2,002
0.050%
Purple Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple Raywave Refractor
1:379
0.264%
Purple Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Gold Refractor
1:3,008
0.033%
Gold Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Raywave Refractor
1:569
0.176%
Gold Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold X-Fractor
Not Available
—
White Refractor
1:5,021
0.020%
Orange Refractor
1:6,045
0.017%
Orange Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange Raywave Refractor
1:1,137
0.088%
Orange Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Black Refractor
1:15,184
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Raywave Refractor
1:2,843
0.035%
Black Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Black X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Red Refractor
1:29,645
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Frozenfractor
Not Available
—
Tie-Dye Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
1:155,634
<0.01%
Printing Plate/1
1:36,620
<0.01%
Base Cards Lightboard Logo Variation
Variation
300
1:281
0.356%
Base
1:281
0.356%
Base Cards Image Variations
Variation
50
1:902
0.111%
Base
1:902
0.111%
Green Refractor
1:9,111
0.011%
Purple Refractor
1:12,050
<0.01%
Gold Refractor
1:18,133
<0.01%
Orange Refractor
1:35,916
<0.01%
Black Refractor
1:88,934
<0.01%
Red Refractor
1:186,760
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:933,800
<0.01%
Sapphire
Not Available
—
Gold Sapphire
Not Available
—
Orange Sapphire
Not Available
—
Black Sapphire
Not Available
—
Red Sapphire
Not Available
—
Padpardascha
Not Available
—
Award Winners Base Variation
Variation
6
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
1991 Topps Baseball
Insert
30
1:6
16.7%
Base
1:6
16.7%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:15,184
<0.01%
Purple
1:20,082
<0.01%
Purple Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold
1:30,123
<0.01%
Gold Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange
1:60,246
<0.01%
Orange Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black
1:155,634
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red
1:311,267
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
1:1,867,600
<0.01%
Big Ticket Players
Insert
25
1:7
14.3%
Base
1:7
14.3%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:18,133
<0.01%
Purple
1:23,944
<0.01%
Purple Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold
1:35,916
<0.01%
Gold Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange
1:71,831
<0.01%
Orange Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black
1:186,760
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red
1:373,520
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
1:1,867,600
<0.01%
Wrecking Crew
Insert
25
1:7
14.3%
Base
1:7
14.3%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:18,133
<0.01%
Purple
1:23,944
<0.01%
Purple Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold
1:35,916
<0.01%
Gold Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange
1:71,831
<0.01%
Orange Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black
1:186,760
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red
1:373,520
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
1:1,867,600
<0.01%
Past to Present
Insert
25
1:14
7.14%
Base
1:14
7.14%
Green
1:10,493
<0.01%
Purple
1:13,835
<0.01%
Gold
1:20,752
<0.01%
Orange
1:41,503
<0.01%
Black
1:103,756
<0.01%
Red
1:207,512
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:933,800
<0.01%
Chrome Rivals Away
Insert
25
1:14
7.14%
Base
1:14
7.14%
Green
1:10,493
<0.01%
Purple
1:13,835
<0.01%
Gold
1:20,752
<0.01%
Orange
1:41,503
<0.01%
Black
1:103,756
<0.01%
Red
1:207,512
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:933,800
<0.01%
Future Stars
Insert
10
1:18
5.56%
Base
1:18
5.56%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:45,552
<0.01%
Purple
1:60,246
<0.01%
Purple Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold
1:88,934
<0.01%
Gold Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange
1:186,760
<0.01%
Orange Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black
1:466,900
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red
1:933,800
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Perspectives
Insert
10
1:18
5.56%
Base
1:18
5.56%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:45,552
<0.01%
Purple
1:60,246
<0.01%
Purple Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold
1:88,934
<0.01%
Gold Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange
1:186,760
<0.01%
Orange Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black
1:466,900
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red
1:933,800
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Static Noise
Insert
15
1:3,924
0.025%
Base
1:3,924
0.025%
Ultraviolet
Insert
15
1:13,340
<0.01%
Base
1:13,340
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:1,867,600
<0.01%
World Series at Night
Insert
10
1:15,062
<0.01%
Base
1:15,062
<0.01%
Helix
Insert
15
1:30,123
<0.01%
Base
1:30,123
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:1,867,600
<0.01%
Super Short Prints
Insert
10
1:45,552
<0.01%
Base
1:45,552
<0.01%
Topps Chrome Champion Refractors
Insert
16
1:56,594
<0.01%
Gold
1:56,594
<0.01%
Gold Superfractor
1:1,867,600
<0.01%
Class of 2025 Cooperstown Calls
Insert
5
1:98,295
<0.01%
Base
1:98,295
<0.01%
Green Refractor
1:93,380
<0.01%
2025 Chrome MVP Buybacks
Insert
2
1:109,859
<0.01%
Refractor
1:109,859
<0.01%
Prism
1:155,634
<0.01%
X-Fractor
1:233,450
<0.01%
Negative Refractor
1:466,900
<0.01%
Minions MLB
Insert
4
1:109,859
<0.01%
Base
1:109,859
<0.01%
Red Refractor
1:1,867,600
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Numbers Live Forever
Insert
2
1:233,450
<0.01%
Base
1:233,450
<0.01%
Gold
1:466,900
<0.01%
Orange
1:933,800
<0.01%
Black
1:1,867,600
<0.01%
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Class of 2026 Cooperstown Calls
Insert
3
N/A
—
Topps Chrome Radiating Rookies
Insert
20
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
1:1,867,600
<0.01%
Shadow Etch
Insert
20
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Gold
Not Available
—
Orange
Not Available
—
Black
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Hobby Masters
Insert
19
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Fanatical
Insert
10
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Gold
Not Available
—
Orange
Not Available
—
Black
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Wild Style
Insert
25
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Green
Not Available
—
Purple
Not Available
—
Gold
Not Available
—
Orange
Not Available
—
Black
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Topps Chrome Expose
Insert
30
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Diamond Moments
Insert
50
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Purple Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
2025 MLB Commissioners Trophy
Insert
1
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Chrome Rivals Home
Insert
25
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Green
Not Available
—
Purple
Not Available
—
Gold
Not Available
—
Orange
Not Available
—
Black
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Retail Rookie Autographs
Auto
30
1:203
0.493%
Base
1:203
0.493%
Refractor
1:813
0.123%
Teal Refractor
1:1,319
0.076%
Yellow Refractor
1:1,443
0.069%
Pink Refractor
1:1,657
0.060%
Aqua Refractor
1:2,046
0.049%
Blue Refractor
1:2,627
0.038%
Green Refractor
1:3,983
0.025%
Green Raywave Refractor
1:4,008
0.025%
Purple Refractor
1:5,217
0.019%
Purple Raywave Refractor
1:5,217
0.019%
Gold Refractor
1:7,881
0.013%
Gold Raywave Refractor
1:7,982
0.013%
White Refractor
1:13,061
<0.01%
Orange Refractor
1:15,585
<0.01%
Orange Raywave Refractor
1:15,585
<0.01%
Black Refractor
1:38,909
<0.01%
Black Raywave Refractor
1:38,909
<0.01%
Red Refractor
1:76,909
<0.01%
Red Raywave Refractor
1:77,633
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:304,785
<0.01%
Printing Plate/1
1:116,725
<0.01%
Rookie Autographs
Auto
94
1:780
0.128%
Base
1:780
0.128%
Refractor
1:3,239
0.031%
Teal Refractor
1:5,077
0.020%
Yellow Refractor
1:5,522
0.018%
Pink Refractor
1:6,034
0.017%
Aqua Refractor
1:7,562
0.013%
Blue Refractor
1:9,826
0.010%
Green Refractor
1:15,040
<0.01%
Green Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Green Raywave Refractor
1:2,009
0.050%
Purple Refractor
1:19,261
<0.01%
Purple Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple Raywave Refractor
1:2,529
0.040%
Gold Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Raywave Refractor
1:3,927
0.025%
White Refractor
1:46,826
<0.01%
Orange Refractor
1:57,207
<0.01%
Orange Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange Raywave Refractor
1:7,511
0.013%
Black Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Raywave Refractor
1:18,845
<0.01%
Red Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Raywave Refractor
1:37,716
<0.01%
Tie-Dye Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Printing Plate/1
Not Available
—
Ink Strokes
Auto
71
1:8,490
0.012%
Base
1:8,490
0.012%
Blue
1:15,309
<0.01%
Green
1:21,717
<0.01%
Gold
1:39,737
<0.01%
Orange
1:81,200
<0.01%
Black
1:195,933
<0.01%
Red
1:391,866
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:2,057,300
<0.01%
Printing Plates/1
1:484,070
<0.01%
75th Diamond Autographs
Auto
69
1:16,383
<0.01%
Base
1:16,383
<0.01%
Blue
1:24,902
<0.01%
Green
1:25,584
<0.01%
Gold
1:45,552
<0.01%
Orange
1:81,200
<0.01%
Black
1:207,512
<0.01%
Red
1:373,520
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:1,867,600
<0.01%
Printing Plates/1
1:514,325
<0.01%
Chromographs
Auto
32
1:93,380
<0.01%
Base
1:93,380
<0.01%
Orange
1:169,782
<0.01%
Black
1:373,520
<0.01%
Red
1:933,800
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:4,114,600
<0.01%
Future Stars Autographs
Auto
8
1:171,441
<0.01%
Base
1:171,441
<0.01%
Gold
1:329,168
<0.01%
Orange
1:633,015
<0.01%
Black
1:1,645,840
<0.01%
Red
1:2,743,066
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:8,229,200
<0.01%
2025 World Champions Autograph Refractor
Auto
17
1:205,730
<0.01%
Gold Refractor
1:205,730
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Perspectives Autographs
Auto
6
1:304,785
<0.01%
Base
1:304,785
<0.01%
Gold
1:914,355
<0.01%
Orange
1:914,355
<0.01%
Black
1:2,057,300
<0.01%
Red
1:4,114,600
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
1991 Topps Baseball Autographs
Auto
6
1:548,613
<0.01%
Base
1:548,613
<0.01%
Gold
1:548,613
<0.01%
Orange
1:1,028,650
<0.01%
Black
1:2,743,066
<0.01%
Red
1:4,114,600
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Dual Autographs
Auto
8
1:822,920
<0.01%
Base
1:822,920
<0.01%
Black
1:1,645,840
<0.01%
Red
1:2,743,066
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:8,229,200
<0.01%
Cooperstown Calls Autograph Variation
Auto
3
1:1,645,840
<0.01%
Base
1:1,645,840
<0.01%
Black
1:4,114,600
<0.01%
Red
1:8,229,200
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Numbers Live Forever Autograph Variation
Auto
2
1:1,867,600
<0.01%
Base
1:1,867,600
<0.01%
Orange
1:1,867,600
<0.01%
Black
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
2025 Chrome MVP Buybacks Autographs
Auto
2
1:2,743,066
<0.01%
Base
1:2,743,066
<0.01%
Fanatics Authentics Redemption Cards
Auto
30
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Chrome Autographs
Auto
6
N/A
—
Chrome Legend Autographs
Auto
47
N/A
—
Gold Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Printing Plate/1
Not Available
—
World Series Champions Autographs
Auto
33
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Topps Chrome Radiating Rookies Autographs
Auto
15
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Topps Autograph Card Jerry Seinfeld
Auto
1
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Black Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Gold Logoman Relics
Relic
6
1:8,229,200
<0.01%
Base
1:8,229,200
<0.01%
Gold Logoman Dual Relics
Relic
3
1:8,229,200
<0.01%
Base
1:8,229,200
<0.01%
Gold Logoman Dual Autograph Relics
Auto Relic
3
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Gold Logoman Autograph Relics
Auto Relic
6
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Back to Back Dual Gold Logoman Autograph Relics
Auto Relic
3
N/A
—

Expected Pulls Calculator

Combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category.

25.0%
Base Cards
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
0.467%
Variations
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
70.7%
Inserts
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
0.642%
Autographs
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
0.000%
Relics & Patches
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

Note: Percentages represent the combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category. These are statistical averages — actual results vary. Relics and Patch Autos without published odds are not included.

Box Type Comparison

Key pulls side-by-side across all box types.

Card GroupHobbyJumboValue BoxMegaBreaker DelightFanatics
Base Cards300 cards
1:3
33.3%
1:1
100%
1:4
25.0%
1:2
50.0%
1:1
100%
Not Available
Rookie Auto Variation
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rookie Patch Auto
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Shadow Etch20 cards
1:480
0.208%
1:192
0.521%
Not Available
Not Available
1:12
8.33%
Not Available
Helix15 cards
1:3,412
0.029%
1:5,067
0.020%
1:30,123
<0.01%
1:53,145
<0.01%
1:314
0.318%
1:80,200
<0.01%
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