2026 Topps Chrome Baseball Odds

2026 · Pull rates by box type

Pull Odds by Card Group

See the odds of pulling each card group in 2026 Topps Chrome Baseball. Odds vary by box type — select a box below to see exact pull rates for that configuration. Orange rows are odds of 1:10 or better.

Filter by box type

Hobby Jumbo Value Box Mega Breaker Delight Fanatics

Card GroupCategoryCardsOdds% Chance

Base Cards

Base

300

N/A

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

X-Fractor

Not Available

—

Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Prism Refractor

Not Available

—

Red White and Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Baseball Seams Refractor

Not Available

—

Topps Refractor

1:1

100%

Raywave Refractor

Not Available

—

Geometric Refractor

Not Available

—

Negative Refractor

1:1,029

0.097%

Pink Refractor

1:1,671

0.060%

Aqua Refractor

1:2,111

0.047%

Aqua Raywave Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua X-Fractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

1:2,766

0.036%

Blue Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Raywave Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue X-Fractor

Not Available

—

Blue Topps Refractor

1:6

16.7%

Green Refractor

1:4,222

0.024%

Green Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Green X-Fractor

Not Available

—

Green Raywave Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Geometric Refractor

Not Available

—

Topps 75th Anniversary

1:5,729

0.017%

Purple Refractor

1:5,729

0.017%

Purple Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Raywave Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Geometric Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple X-Fractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

1:8,020

0.012%

Gold Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Raywave Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Geometric Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold X-Fractor

Not Available

—

White Refractor

1:13,367

<0.01%

Orange Refractor

1:16,040

<0.01%

Orange Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Raywave Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Geometric Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange X-Fractor

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

1:40,100

<0.01%

Black Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Raywave Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Geometric Refractor

Not Available

—

Black X-Fractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

1:80,200

<0.01%

Red Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Geometric Refractor

Not Available

—

Frozenfractor

Not Available

—

Tie-Dye Geometric Refractor

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Printing Plate/1

1:80,200

<0.01%

Base Cards Lightboard Logo Variation

Variation

300

1:121

0.826%

Base

1:121

0.826%

Base Cards Image Variations

Variation

1:2,507

0.040%

Base

1:2,507

0.040%

Green Refractor

1:24,060

<0.01%

Purple Refractor

1:34,372

<0.01%

Gold Refractor

1:48,120

<0.01%

Orange Refractor

1:120,300

<0.01%

Black Refractor

1:240,600

<0.01%

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Sapphire

Not Available

—

Gold Sapphire

Not Available

—

Orange Sapphire

Not Available

—

Black Sapphire

Not Available

—

Red Sapphire

Not Available

—

Padpardascha

Not Available

—

Award Winners Base Variation

Variation

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

1991 Topps Baseball

Insert

1:5

20.0%

Base

1:5

20.0%

Geometric

Not Available

—

Green

1:40,100

<0.01%

Purple

1:60,150

<0.01%

Purple Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold

1:80,200

<0.01%

Gold Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange

1:240,600

<0.01%

Orange Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Black

1:240,600

<0.01%

Black Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Red Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Big Ticket Players

Insert

1:6

16.7%

Base

1:6

16.7%

Geometric

Not Available

—

Green

Not Available

—

Purple

Not Available

—

Purple Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Gold Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Orange Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Black

Not Available

—

Black Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Red Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Wrecking Crew

Insert

1:6

16.7%

Base

1:6

16.7%

Geometric

Not Available

—

Green

1:48,120

<0.01%

Purple

1:60,150

<0.01%

Purple Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold

1:120,300

<0.01%

Gold Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange

1:240,600

<0.01%

Orange Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Black

Not Available

—

Black Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Red Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Past to Present

Insert

1:12

8.33%

Base

1:12

8.33%

Green

1:307

0.326%

Purple

1:406

0.246%

Gold

1:608

0.164%

Orange

1:1,216

0.082%

Black

1:3,046

0.033%

Red

1:6,015

0.017%

Superfractor/1

1:30,075

<0.01%

Chrome Rivals Away

Insert

1:12

8.33%

Base

1:12

8.33%

Green

1:307

0.326%

Purple

1:406

0.246%

Gold

1:608

0.164%

Orange

1:1,216

0.082%

Black

1:3,046

0.033%

Red

1:6,015

0.017%

Superfractor/1

1:30,075

<0.01%

Future Stars

Insert

1:15

6.67%

Base

1:15

6.67%

Geometric

Not Available

—

Green

1:120,300

<0.01%

Purple

1:240,600

<0.01%

Purple Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold

1:240,600

<0.01%

Gold Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Orange Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Black

Not Available

—

Black Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Red Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Perspectives

Insert

1:15

6.67%

Base

1:15

6.67%

Geometric

Not Available

—

Green

Not Available

—

Purple

Not Available

—

Purple Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Gold Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Orange Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Black

Not Available

—

Black Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Red Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Fanatical

Insert

1:60

1.67%

Base

1:60

1.67%

Gold

1:498

0.201%

Orange

1:991

0.101%

Black

1:2,456

0.041%

Red

1:4,911

0.020%

Superfractor/1

1:24,060

<0.01%

Minions MLB

Insert

1:26,734

<0.01%

Base

1:26,734

<0.01%

Red Refractor

1:240,600

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Ultraviolet

Insert

1:40,100

<0.01%

Base

1:40,100

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Helix

Insert

1:80,200

<0.01%

Base

1:80,200

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Super Short Prints

Insert

1:120,300

<0.01%

Base

1:120,300

<0.01%

2025 Chrome MVP Buybacks

Insert

N/A

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Prism

Not Available

—

X-Fractor

Not Available

—

Negative Refractor

Not Available

—

Numbers Live Forever

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Black

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Class of 2026 Cooperstown Calls

Insert

N/A

—

Class of 2025 Cooperstown Calls

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Topps Chrome Radiating Rookies

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

World Series at Night

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Topps Chrome Champion Refractors

Insert

N/A

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Gold Superfractor

Not Available

—

Shadow Etch

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Black

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Static Noise

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Hobby Masters

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Wild Style

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Green

Not Available

—

Purple

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Black

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Topps Chrome Expose

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Diamond Moments

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

2025 MLB Commissioners Trophy

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Chrome Rivals Home

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Green

Not Available

—

Purple

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Black

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Rookie Autographs

Auto

1:118

0.847%

Base

1:118

0.847%

Refractor

1:489

0.204%

Teal Refractor

1:766

0.131%

Yellow Refractor

1:838

0.119%

Pink Refractor

1:917

0.109%

Aqua Refractor

1:1,143

0.087%

Blue Refractor

1:1,490

0.067%

Green Refractor

1:2,261

0.044%

Green Geometric Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Raywave Refractor

1:576

0.174%

Purple Refractor

1:2,933

0.034%

Purple Geometric Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Raywave Refractor

1:723

0.138%

Gold Refractor

1:4,626

0.022%

Gold Geometric Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Raywave Refractor

1:1,122

0.089%

White Refractor

1:7,452

0.013%

Orange Refractor

1:8,353

0.012%

Orange Geometric Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Raywave Refractor

1:2,152

0.046%

Black Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Geometric Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Raywave Refractor

1:5,489

0.018%

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Geometric Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Raywave Refractor

1:10,528

<0.01%

Tie-Dye Geometric Refractor

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Printing Plate/1

Not Available

—

Retail Rookie Autographs

Auto

1:287

0.348%

Base

1:287

0.348%

Refractor

1:1,152

0.087%

Teal Refractor

1:1,866

0.054%

Yellow Refractor

1:2,039

0.049%

Pink Refractor

1:2,336

0.043%

Aqua Refractor

1:2,899

0.034%

Blue Refractor

1:3,702

0.027%

Green Refractor

1:5,596

0.018%

Green Raywave Refractor

1:5,729

0.017%

Purple Refractor

1:7,291

0.014%

Purple Raywave Refractor

1:7,291

0.014%

Gold Refractor

1:10,937

<0.01%

Gold Raywave Refractor

1:11,458

<0.01%

White Refractor

1:18,508

<0.01%

Orange Refractor

1:21,873

<0.01%

Orange Raywave Refractor

1:21,873

<0.01%

Black Refractor

1:60,150

<0.01%

Black Raywave Refractor

1:60,150

<0.01%

Red Refractor

1:120,300

<0.01%

Red Raywave Refractor

1:120,300

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Printing Plate/1

1:240,600

<0.01%

Ink Strokes

Auto

1:1,280

0.078%

Base

1:1,280

0.078%

Blue

1:2,314

0.043%

Green

1:3,296

0.030%

Gold

1:6,015

0.017%

Orange

1:12,030

<0.01%

Black

Not Available

—

Red

1:60,150

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:240,600

<0.01%

Printing Plates/1

1:80,200

<0.01%

Fanatics Authentics Redemption Cards

Auto

1:1,604

0.062%

Base

1:1,604

0.062%

75th Diamond Autographs

Auto

1:2,481

0.040%

Base

1:2,481

0.040%

Blue

1:3,760

0.027%

Green

1:3,881

0.026%

Gold

1:6,875

0.015%

Orange

1:12,664

<0.01%

Black

Not Available

—

Red

1:60,150

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:240,600

<0.01%

Printing Plates/1

1:80,200

<0.01%

Future Stars Autographs

Auto

1:26,734

<0.01%

Base

1:26,734

<0.01%

Gold

1:48,120

<0.01%

Orange

1:120,300

<0.01%

Black

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

2025 World Champions Autograph Refractor

Auto

1:30,060

<0.01%

Gold Refractor

1:30,060

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Perspectives Autographs

Auto

1:48,120

<0.01%

Base

1:48,120

<0.01%

Gold

1:120,300

<0.01%

Orange

1:120,300

<0.01%

Black

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

1991 Topps Baseball Autographs

Auto

1:80,200

<0.01%

Base

1:80,200

<0.01%

Gold

1:80,200

<0.01%

Orange

1:120,300

<0.01%

Black

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Dual Autographs

Auto

1:120,300

<0.01%

Base

1:120,300

<0.01%

Black

1:240,600

<0.01%

Red

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Chrome Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Chrome Legend Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Printing Plate/1

Not Available

—

World Series Champions Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Chromographs

Auto

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Black

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Topps Chrome Radiating Rookies Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

2025 Chrome MVP Buybacks Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Cooperstown Calls Autograph Variation

Auto

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Black

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Numbers Live Forever Autograph Variation

Auto

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Black

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Topps Autograph Card Jerry Seinfeld

Auto

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Gold Logoman Relics

Relic

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Gold Logoman Dual Relics

Relic

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Gold Logoman Dual Autograph Relics

Auto Relic

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Gold Logoman Autograph Relics

Auto Relic

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Back to Back Dual Gold Logoman Autograph Relics

Auto Relic

N/A

—

Expected Pulls Calculator

Combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category.

N/A

Base Cards

Not available in this box type

0.866%

Variations

Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

85.0%

Inserts

Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

1.39%

Autographs

Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

N/A

Relics & Patches

Not available in this box type

Note: Percentages represent the combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category. These are statistical averages — actual results vary. Relics and Patch Autos without published odds are not included.

Box Type Comparison

Key pulls side-by-side across all box types.

Card GroupHobbyJumboValue BoxMegaBreaker DelightFanatics

Base Cards300 cards

1:3

33.3%

1:1

100%

1:4

25.0%

1:2

50.0%

1:1

100%

Not Available

Rookie Auto Variation

N/A

Rookie Patch Auto

N/A

Shadow Etch20 cards

1:480

0.208%

1:192

0.521%

Not Available

1:12

8.33%

Not Available

Helix15 cards

1:3,412

0.029%

1:5,067

0.020%

1:30,123

<0.01%

1:53,145

<0.01%

1:314

0.318%

1:80,200

<0.01%

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