2026 Topps Chrome Baseball Odds
2026 · Pull rates by box type
Pull Odds by Card Group
See the odds of pulling each card group in 2026 Topps Chrome Baseball. Odds vary by box type — select a box below to see exact pull rates for that configuration. Orange rows are odds of 1:10 or better.
Card GroupCategoryCardsOdds% Chance
Base Cards
Base
300
1:1
100%
Refractor
1:1
100%
X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Wave Refractor
1:2
50.0%
Prism Refractor
Not Available
—
Red White and Blue Refractor
Not Available
—
Baseball Seams Refractor
Not Available
—
Topps Refractor
Not Available
—
Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Negative Refractor
1:63
1.59%
Pink Refractor
1:102
0.980%
Aqua Refractor
1:127
0.787%
Aqua Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Aqua X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Blue Refractor
1:168
0.595%
Blue Wave Refractor
1:19
5.26%
Blue Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Blue X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Blue Topps Refractor
Not Available
—
Green Refractor
1:256
0.391%
Green Wave Refractor
1:28
3.57%
Green X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Green Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Green Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Topps 75th Anniversary
1:337
0.297%
Purple Refractor
1:337
0.297%
Purple Wave Refractor
1:37
2.70%
Purple Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Gold Refractor
1:506
0.198%
Gold Wave Refractor
1:56
1.79%
Gold Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold X-Fractor
Not Available
—
White Refractor
1:842
0.119%
Orange Refractor
1:1,011
0.099%
Orange Wave Refractor
1:111
0.901%
Orange Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Black Refractor
1:2,518
0.040%
Black Wave Refractor
1:277
0.361%
Black Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Black X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Red Refractor
1:5,035
0.020%
Red Wave Refractor
1:552
0.181%
Red Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Frozenfractor
1:927
0.108%
Tie-Dye Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
1:24,256
<0.01%
Printing Plate/1
1:6,353
0.016%
Base Cards Image Variations
Variation
50
1:152
0.658%
Base
1:152
0.658%
Green Refractor
1:1,531
0.065%
Purple Refractor
1:2,022
0.049%
Gold Refractor
1:3,032
0.033%
Orange Refractor
1:6,064
0.016%
Black Refractor
1:15,103
<0.01%
Red Refractor
1:30,787
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:160,090
<0.01%
Sapphire
Not Available
—
Gold Sapphire
Not Available
—
Orange Sapphire
Not Available
—
Black Sapphire
Not Available
—
Red Sapphire
Not Available
—
Padpardascha
Not Available
—
Award Winners Base Variation
Variation
6
1:27,602
<0.01%
Base
1:27,602
<0.01%
Base Cards Lightboard Logo Variation
Variation
300
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Big Ticket Players
Insert
25
1:4
25.0%
Base
1:4
25.0%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:3,067
0.033%
Purple
1:4,043
0.025%
Purple Wave Refractor
1:442
0.226%
Gold
1:6,064
0.016%
Gold Wave Refractor
1:663
0.151%
Orange
1:12,128
<0.01%
Orange Wave Refractor
1:1,326
0.075%
Black
1:30,787
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
1:3,295
0.030%
Red
1:61,573
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
1:6,562
0.015%
Superfractor/1
1:266,816
<0.01%
Wrecking Crew
Insert
25
1:4
25.0%
Base
1:4
25.0%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:3,067
0.033%
Purple
1:4,043
0.025%
Purple Wave Refractor
1:442
0.226%
Gold
1:6,064
0.016%
Gold Wave Refractor
1:663
0.151%
Orange
1:12,128
<0.01%
Orange Wave Refractor
1:1,326
0.075%
Black
1:30,787
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
1:3,295
0.030%
Red
1:61,573
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
1:6,562
0.015%
Superfractor/1
1:266,816
<0.01%
1991 Topps Baseball
Insert
30
1:4
25.0%
Base
1:4
25.0%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:2,550
0.039%
Purple
1:3,364
0.030%
Purple Wave Refractor
1:369
0.271%
Gold
1:5,067
0.020%
Gold Wave Refractor
1:553
0.181%
Orange
1:10,133
<0.01%
Orange Wave Refractor
1:1,103
0.091%
Black
1:25,014
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
1:2,751
0.036%
Red
1:50,028
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
1:5,446
0.018%
Superfractor/1
1:266,816
<0.01%
Future Stars
Insert
10
1:10
10.0%
Base
1:10
10.0%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:7,624
0.013%
Purple
1:10,133
<0.01%
Purple Wave Refractor
1:1,103
0.091%
Gold
1:15,103
<0.01%
Gold Wave Refractor
1:1,654
0.060%
Orange
1:30,787
<0.01%
Orange Wave Refractor
1:3,295
0.030%
Black
1:72,768
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
1:8,168
0.012%
Red
1:160,090
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
1:16,336
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:800,448
<0.01%
Perspectives
Insert
10
1:10
10.0%
Base
1:10
10.0%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:7,624
0.013%
Purple
1:10,133
<0.01%
Purple Wave Refractor
1:1,103
0.091%
Gold
1:15,103
<0.01%
Gold Wave Refractor
1:1,654
0.060%
Orange
1:30,787
<0.01%
Orange Wave Refractor
1:3,295
0.030%
Black
1:72,768
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
1:8,168
0.012%
Red
1:160,090
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
1:16,336
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:800,448
<0.01%
Wild Style
Insert
25
1:24
4.17%
Base
1:24
4.17%
Green
1:674
0.148%
Purple
1:889
0.112%
Gold
1:1,335
0.075%
Orange
1:2,660
0.038%
Black
1:6,671
0.015%
Red
1:13,341
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:66,704
<0.01%
Chrome Rivals Home
Insert
25
1:24
4.17%
Base
1:24
4.17%
Green
1:674
0.148%
Purple
1:889
0.112%
Gold
1:1,335
0.075%
Orange
1:2,660
0.038%
Black
1:6,671
0.015%
Red
1:13,341
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:66,704
<0.01%
Diamond Moments
Insert
50
1:48
2.08%
Base
1:48
2.08%
Purple Refractor
1:445
0.225%
Gold Refractor
1:668
0.150%
Orange Refractor
1:1,335
0.075%
Black Refractor
1:3,336
0.030%
Red Refractor
1:6,671
0.015%
Superfractor/1
1:33,352
<0.01%
Topps Chrome Radiating Rookies
Insert
20
1:192
0.521%
Base
1:192
0.521%
Superfractor/1
1:400,224
<0.01%
Shadow Etch
Insert
20
1:192
0.521%
Base
1:192
0.521%
Gold
1:2,383
0.042%
Orange
1:4,765
0.021%
Black
1:11,947
<0.01%
Red
1:23,543
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:114,350
<0.01%
Hobby Masters
Insert
19
1:418
0.239%
Base
1:418
0.239%
Superfractor/1
1:114,350
<0.01%
Ultraviolet
Insert
15
1:2,243
0.045%
Base
1:2,243
0.045%
Superfractor/1
1:400,224
<0.01%
World Series at Night
Insert
10
1:2,526
0.040%
Base
1:2,526
0.040%
Helix
Insert
15
1:5,067
0.020%
Base
1:5,067
0.020%
Superfractor/1
1:400,224
<0.01%
Super Short Prints
Insert
10
1:7,552
0.013%
Base
1:7,552
0.013%
Topps Chrome Expose
Insert
30
1:7,926
0.013%
Base
1:7,926
0.013%
Red
1:16,009
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:80,045
<0.01%
Topps Chrome Champion Refractors
Insert
16
1:9,530
0.010%
Gold
1:9,530
0.010%
Gold Superfractor
1:400,224
<0.01%
Class of 2025 Cooperstown Calls
Insert
5
1:16,676
<0.01%
Base
1:16,676
<0.01%
Green Refractor
1:15,394
<0.01%
2025 Chrome MVP Buybacks
Insert
2
1:19,059
<0.01%
Refractor
1:19,059
<0.01%
Prism
1:25,014
<0.01%
X-Fractor
1:38,117
<0.01%
Negative Refractor
1:72,768
<0.01%
Minions MLB
Insert
4
1:19,059
<0.01%
Base
1:19,059
<0.01%
Red Refractor
1:400,224
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:800,448
<0.01%
Numbers Live Forever
Insert
2
1:38,117
<0.01%
Base
1:38,117
<0.01%
Gold
1:72,768
<0.01%
Orange
1:160,090
<0.01%
Black
1:400,224
<0.01%
Red
1:800,448
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Class of 2026 Cooperstown Calls
Insert
3
N/A
—
Static Noise
Insert
15
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Fanatical
Insert
10
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Gold
Not Available
—
Orange
Not Available
—
Black
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Past to Present
Insert
25
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Green
Not Available
—
Purple
Not Available
—
Gold
Not Available
—
Orange
Not Available
—
Black
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
2025 MLB Commissioners Trophy
Insert
1
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Chrome Rivals Away
Insert
25
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Green
Not Available
—
Purple
Not Available
—
Gold
Not Available
—
Orange
Not Available
—
Black
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Rookie Autographs
Auto
94
1:14
7.14%
Base
1:14
7.14%
Refractor
1:59
1.69%
Teal Refractor
1:92
1.09%
Yellow Refractor
1:100
1.00%
Pink Refractor
1:109
0.917%
Aqua Refractor
1:136
0.735%
Blue Refractor
1:176
0.568%
Green Refractor
1:271
0.369%
Green Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Green Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple Refractor
1:347
0.288%
Purple Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Refractor
1:505
0.198%
Gold Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
White Refractor
1:859
0.116%
Orange Refractor
1:1,015
0.099%
Orange Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Refractor
1:2,314
0.043%
Black Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Refractor
1:4,536
0.022%
Red Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Tie-Dye Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
1:23,181
<0.01%
Printing Plate/1
1:5,716
0.017%
Ink Strokes
Auto
71
1:153
0.654%
Base
1:153
0.654%
Blue
1:275
0.364%
Green
1:390
0.256%
Gold
1:716
0.140%
Orange
1:1,430
0.070%
Black
1:3,558
0.028%
Red
1:7,084
0.014%
Superfractor/1
1:34,803
<0.01%
Printing Plates/1
1:8,894
0.011%
75th Diamond Autographs
Auto
69
1:294
0.340%
Base
1:294
0.340%
Blue
1:446
0.224%
Green
1:460
0.217%
Gold
1:812
0.123%
Orange
1:1,480
0.068%
Black
1:3,672
0.027%
Red
1:7,344
0.014%
Superfractor/1
1:36,384
<0.01%
Printing Plates/1
1:9,308
0.011%
World Series Champions Autographs
Auto
33
1:1,304
0.077%
Base
1:1,304
0.077%
Superfractor/1
1:133,408
<0.01%
Chromographs
Auto
32
1:1,682
0.059%
Base
1:1,682
0.059%
Orange
1:2,943
0.034%
Black
1:7,344
0.014%
Red
1:14,554
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:72,768
<0.01%
Chrome Legend Autographs
Auto
47
1:1,726
0.058%
Gold Refractor
1:1,726
0.058%
Orange Refractor
1:3,392
0.029%
Black Refractor
1:7,772
0.013%
Red Refractor
1:15,394
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:80,045
<0.01%
Printing Plate/1
1:20,525
<0.01%
Future Stars Autographs
Auto
8
1:3,056
0.033%
Base
1:3,056
0.033%
Gold
1:5,930
0.017%
Orange
1:11,772
<0.01%
Black
1:29,647
<0.01%
Red
1:57,175
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:266,816
<0.01%
2025 World Champions Autograph Refractor
Auto
17
1:3,706
0.027%
Gold Refractor
1:3,706
0.027%
Superfractor/1
1:160,090
<0.01%
Perspectives Autographs
Auto
6
1:5,559
0.018%
Base
1:5,559
0.018%
Gold
1:16,009
<0.01%
Orange
1:15,696
<0.01%
Black
1:38,117
<0.01%
Red
1:80,045
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:400,224
<0.01%
Topps Chrome Radiating Rookies Autographs
Auto
15
1:5,559
0.018%
Base
1:5,559
0.018%
Superfractor/1
1:133,408
<0.01%
1991 Topps Baseball Autographs
Auto
6
1:9,530
0.010%
Base
1:9,530
0.010%
Gold
1:9,883
0.010%
Orange
1:18,616
<0.01%
Black
1:47,086
<0.01%
Red
1:100,056
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:400,224
<0.01%
Dual Autographs
Auto
8
1:15,103
<0.01%
Base
1:15,103
<0.01%
Black
1:32,018
<0.01%
Red
1:57,175
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:266,816
<0.01%
Numbers Live Forever Autograph Variation
Auto
2
1:24,256
<0.01%
Base
1:24,256
<0.01%
Orange
1:53,364
<0.01%
Black
1:133,408
<0.01%
Red
1:200,112
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:800,448
<0.01%
Cooperstown Calls Autograph Variation
Auto
3
1:30,787
<0.01%
Base
1:30,787
<0.01%
Black
1:80,045
<0.01%
Red
1:160,090
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:800,448
<0.01%
2025 Chrome MVP Buybacks Autographs
Auto
2
1:47,086
<0.01%
Base
1:47,086
<0.01%
Topps Autograph Card Jerry Seinfeld
Auto
1
1:100,056
<0.01%
Base
1:100,056
<0.01%
Black Refractor
1:200,112
<0.01%
Red Refractor
1:400,224
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Fanatics Authentics Redemption Cards
Auto
30
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Retail Rookie Autographs
Auto
30
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Refractor
Not Available
—
Teal Refractor
Not Available
—
Yellow Refractor
Not Available
—
Pink Refractor
Not Available
—
Aqua Refractor
Not Available
—
Blue Refractor
Not Available
—
Green Refractor
Not Available
—
Green Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
White Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Printing Plate/1
Not Available
—
Chrome Autographs
Auto
6
N/A
—
Gold Logoman Relics
Relic
6
1:100,056
<0.01%
Base
1:100,056
<0.01%
Gold Logoman Dual Relics
Relic
3
1:200,112
<0.01%
Base
1:200,112
<0.01%
Gold Logoman Autograph Relics
Auto Relic
6
1:400,224
<0.01%
Base
1:400,224
<0.01%
Gold Logoman Dual Autograph Relics
Auto Relic
3
1:800,448
<0.01%
Base
1:800,448
<0.01%
Back to Back Dual Gold Logoman Autograph Relics
Auto Relic
3
N/A
—
Expected Pulls Calculator
Combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category.
Guaranteed
Base Cards
In every pack
0.662%
Variations
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
Guaranteed
Inserts
In every pack
8.45%
Autographs
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
0.002%
Relics & Patches
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
Note: Percentages represent the combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category. These are statistical averages — actual results vary. Relics and Patch Autos without published odds are not included.
Box Type Comparison
Key pulls side-by-side across all box types.
Card GroupHobbyJumboValue BoxMegaBreaker DelightFanatics
Base Cards300 cards
1:3
33.3%
1:1
100%
1:4
25.0%
1:2
50.0%
1:1
100%
Not Available
Rookie Auto Variation
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rookie Patch Auto
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Shadow Etch20 cards
1:480
0.208%
1:192
0.521%
Not Available
Not Available
1:12
8.33%
Not Available
Helix15 cards
1:3,412
0.029%
1:5,067
0.020%
1:30,123
<0.01%
1:53,145
<0.01%
1:314
0.318%
1:80,200
<0.01%
Want to simulate a full break?
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