2026 Topps Chrome Baseball Odds
2026 · Pull rates by box type
Pull Odds by Card Group
See the odds of pulling each card group in 2026 Topps Chrome Baseball. Odds vary by box type — select a box below to see exact pull rates for that configuration. Orange rows are odds of 1:10 or better.
Card GroupCategoryCardsOdds% Chance
Base Cards
Base
300
1:2
50.0%
Refractor
1:2
50.0%
X-Fractor
1:1
100%
Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Prism Refractor
Not Available
—
Red White and Blue Refractor
Not Available
—
Baseball Seams Refractor
Not Available
—
Topps Refractor
Not Available
—
Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Negative Refractor
1:682
0.147%
Pink Refractor
1:1,108
0.090%
Aqua Refractor
1:1,376
0.073%
Aqua Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Aqua X-Fractor
1:45
2.22%
Blue Refractor
1:1,841
0.054%
Blue Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Blue Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Blue X-Fractor
1:59
1.69%
Blue Topps Refractor
Not Available
—
Green Refractor
1:2,779
0.036%
Green Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Green X-Fractor
1:89
1.12%
Green Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Green Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Topps 75th Anniversary
1:3,634
0.028%
Purple Refractor
1:3,634
0.028%
Purple Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple X-Fractor
1:117
0.855%
Gold Refractor
1:5,451
0.018%
Gold Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold X-Fractor
1:176
0.568%
White Refractor
1:9,448
0.011%
Orange Refractor
1:10,902
<0.01%
Orange Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange X-Fractor
1:351
0.285%
Black Refractor
1:28,344
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Black X-Fractor
1:875
0.114%
Red Refractor
1:47,240
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Frozenfractor
Not Available
—
Tie-Dye Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
1:141,720
<0.01%
Printing Plate/1
1:70,860
<0.01%
Base Cards Lightboard Logo Variation
Variation
300
1:120
0.833%
Base
1:120
0.833%
Base Cards Image Variations
Variation
50
1:1,655
0.060%
Base
1:1,655
0.060%
Green Refractor
1:17,007
<0.01%
Purple Refractor
1:22,377
<0.01%
Gold Refractor
1:32,705
<0.01%
Orange Refractor
1:70,860
<0.01%
Black Refractor
1:141,720
<0.01%
Red Refractor
1:425,160
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Sapphire
Not Available
—
Gold Sapphire
Not Available
—
Orange Sapphire
Not Available
—
Black Sapphire
Not Available
—
Red Sapphire
Not Available
—
Padpardascha
Not Available
—
Award Winners Base Variation
Variation
6
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
1991 Topps Baseball
Insert
30
1:5
20.0%
Base
1:5
20.0%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:28,344
<0.01%
Purple
1:35,430
<0.01%
Purple Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold
1:53,145
<0.01%
Gold Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange
1:106,290
<0.01%
Orange Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black
1:212,580
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red
1:425,160
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Big Ticket Players
Insert
25
1:6
16.7%
Base
1:6
16.7%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:32,705
<0.01%
Purple
1:42,516
<0.01%
Purple Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold
1:70,860
<0.01%
Gold Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange
1:141,720
<0.01%
Orange Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black
1:425,160
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red
1:425,160
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Wrecking Crew
Insert
25
1:6
16.7%
Base
1:6
16.7%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:32,705
<0.01%
Purple
1:42,516
<0.01%
Purple Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold
1:70,860
<0.01%
Gold Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange
1:141,720
<0.01%
Orange Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black
1:425,160
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red
1:425,160
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Past to Present
Insert
25
1:12
8.33%
Base
1:12
8.33%
Green
1:3,246
0.031%
Purple
1:4,295
0.023%
Gold
1:6,442
0.016%
Orange
1:12,884
<0.01%
Black
1:32,705
<0.01%
Red
1:60,738
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:425,160
<0.01%
Chrome Rivals Away
Insert
25
1:12
8.33%
Base
1:12
8.33%
Green
1:3,246
0.031%
Purple
1:4,295
0.023%
Gold
1:6,442
0.016%
Orange
1:12,884
<0.01%
Black
1:32,705
<0.01%
Red
1:60,738
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:425,160
<0.01%
Future Stars
Insert
10
1:15
6.67%
Base
1:15
6.67%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:85,032
<0.01%
Purple
1:106,290
<0.01%
Purple Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold
1:141,720
<0.01%
Gold Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange
1:425,160
<0.01%
Orange Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black
1:425,160
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Red Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Perspectives
Insert
10
1:15
6.67%
Base
1:15
6.67%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:85,032
<0.01%
Purple
1:106,290
<0.01%
Purple Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold
1:141,720
<0.01%
Gold Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange
1:425,160
<0.01%
Orange Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black
1:425,160
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Red Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Static Noise
Insert
15
1:1,175
0.085%
Base
1:1,175
0.085%
Ultraviolet
Insert
15
1:25,010
<0.01%
Base
1:25,010
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
World Series at Night
Insert
10
1:28,344
<0.01%
Base
1:28,344
<0.01%
Helix
Insert
15
1:53,145
<0.01%
Base
1:53,145
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Super Short Prints
Insert
10
1:85,032
<0.01%
Base
1:85,032
<0.01%
Topps Chrome Champion Refractors
Insert
16
1:106,290
<0.01%
Gold
1:106,290
<0.01%
Gold Superfractor
Not Available
—
2025 Chrome MVP Buybacks
Insert
2
1:212,580
<0.01%
Refractor
1:212,580
<0.01%
Prism
1:212,580
<0.01%
X-Fractor
1:425,160
<0.01%
Negative Refractor
1:425,160
<0.01%
Class of 2025 Cooperstown Calls
Insert
5
1:212,580
<0.01%
Base
1:212,580
<0.01%
Green Refractor
1:141,720
<0.01%
Minions MLB
Insert
4
1:212,580
<0.01%
Base
1:212,580
<0.01%
Red Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Numbers Live Forever
Insert
2
1:425,160
<0.01%
Base
1:425,160
<0.01%
Gold
1:425,160
<0.01%
Orange
Not Available
—
Black
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Class of 2026 Cooperstown Calls
Insert
3
N/A
—
Topps Chrome Radiating Rookies
Insert
20
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Shadow Etch
Insert
20
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Gold
Not Available
—
Orange
Not Available
—
Black
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Hobby Masters
Insert
19
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Fanatical
Insert
10
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Gold
Not Available
—
Orange
Not Available
—
Black
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Wild Style
Insert
25
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Green
Not Available
—
Purple
Not Available
—
Gold
Not Available
—
Orange
Not Available
—
Black
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Topps Chrome Expose
Insert
30
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Diamond Moments
Insert
50
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Purple Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
2025 MLB Commissioners Trophy
Insert
1
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Chrome Rivals Home
Insert
25
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Green
Not Available
—
Purple
Not Available
—
Gold
Not Available
—
Orange
Not Available
—
Black
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Retail Rookie Autographs
Auto
30
1:182
0.549%
Base
1:182
0.549%
Refractor
1:729
0.137%
Teal Refractor
1:1,181
0.085%
Yellow Refractor
1:1,293
0.077%
Pink Refractor
1:1,482
0.067%
Aqua Refractor
1:1,833
0.055%
Blue Refractor
1:2,349
0.043%
Green Refractor
1:3,588
0.028%
Green Raywave Refractor
1:3,588
0.028%
Purple Refractor
1:4,673
0.021%
Purple Raywave Refractor
1:4,673
0.021%
Gold Refractor
1:7,057
0.014%
Gold Raywave Refractor
1:7,136
0.014%
White Refractor
1:11,653
<0.01%
Orange Refractor
1:13,959
<0.01%
Orange Raywave Refractor
1:13,959
<0.01%
Black Refractor
1:34,801
<0.01%
Black Raywave Refractor
1:34,801
<0.01%
Red Refractor
1:68,662
<0.01%
Red Raywave Refractor
1:68,662
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:362,932
<0.01%
Printing Plate/1
1:106,290
<0.01%
Rookie Autographs
Auto
94
1:208
0.481%
Base
1:208
0.481%
Refractor
1:861
0.116%
Teal Refractor
1:1,345
0.074%
Yellow Refractor
1:1,471
0.068%
Pink Refractor
1:1,608
0.062%
Aqua Refractor
1:2,019
0.050%
Blue Refractor
1:2,601
0.038%
Green Refractor
1:3,995
0.025%
Green Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Green Raywave Refractor
1:677
0.148%
Purple Refractor
1:5,182
0.019%
Purple Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple Raywave Refractor
1:852
0.117%
Gold Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Raywave Refractor
1:1,322
0.076%
White Refractor
1:12,437
<0.01%
Orange Refractor
1:14,760
<0.01%
Orange Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange Raywave Refractor
1:2,536
0.039%
Black Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Raywave Refractor
1:6,374
0.016%
Red Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Raywave Refractor
1:12,402
<0.01%
Tie-Dye Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Printing Plate/1
Not Available
—
Ink Strokes
Auto
71
1:2,262
0.044%
Base
1:2,262
0.044%
Blue
1:4,089
0.024%
Green
1:5,746
0.017%
Gold
1:10,629
<0.01%
Orange
1:21,258
<0.01%
Black
1:52,927
<0.01%
Red
1:105,855
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:508,104
<0.01%
Printing Plates/1
1:133,711
<0.01%
75th Diamond Autographs
Auto
69
1:4,350
0.023%
Base
1:4,350
0.023%
Blue
1:6,599
0.015%
Green
1:6,858
0.015%
Gold
1:12,040
<0.01%
Orange
1:21,901
<0.01%
Black
1:54,053
<0.01%
Red
1:110,457
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:508,104
<0.01%
Printing Plates/1
1:141,140
<0.01%
Chromographs
Auto
32
1:25,010
<0.01%
Base
1:25,010
<0.01%
Orange
1:42,516
<0.01%
Black
1:106,290
<0.01%
Red
1:212,580
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:1,270,260
<0.01%
Future Stars Autographs
Auto
8
1:45,366
<0.01%
Base
1:45,366
<0.01%
Gold
1:87,604
<0.01%
Orange
1:169,368
<0.01%
Black
1:423,420
<0.01%
Red
1:846,840
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:2,540,520
<0.01%
2025 World Champions Autograph Refractor
Auto
17
1:55,228
<0.01%
Gold Refractor
1:55,228
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Perspectives Autographs
Auto
6
1:85,032
<0.01%
Base
1:85,032
<0.01%
Gold
1:212,580
<0.01%
Orange
1:212,580
<0.01%
Black
1:425,160
<0.01%
Red
1:1,270,260
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
1991 Topps Baseball Autographs
Auto
6
1:141,140
<0.01%
Base
1:141,140
<0.01%
Gold
1:149,442
<0.01%
Orange
1:282,280
<0.01%
Black
1:635,130
<0.01%
Red
1:1,270,260
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Dual Autographs
Auto
8
1:230,956
<0.01%
Base
1:230,956
<0.01%
Black
1:508,104
<0.01%
Red
1:846,840
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:2,540,520
<0.01%
Numbers Live Forever Autograph Variation
Auto
2
1:425,160
<0.01%
Base
1:425,160
<0.01%
Orange
1:425,160
<0.01%
Black
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Cooperstown Calls Autograph Variation
Auto
3
1:508,104
<0.01%
Base
1:508,104
<0.01%
Black
1:1,270,260
<0.01%
Red
1:2,540,520
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
2025 Chrome MVP Buybacks Autographs
Auto
2
1:635,130
<0.01%
Base
1:635,130
<0.01%
Fanatics Authentics Redemption Cards
Auto
30
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Chrome Autographs
Auto
6
N/A
—
Chrome Legend Autographs
Auto
47
N/A
—
Gold Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Printing Plate/1
Not Available
—
World Series Champions Autographs
Auto
33
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Topps Chrome Radiating Rookies Autographs
Auto
15
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Topps Autograph Card Jerry Seinfeld
Auto
1
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Black Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Gold Logoman Relics
Relic
6
1:1,270,260
<0.01%
Base
1:1,270,260
<0.01%
Gold Logoman Dual Relics
Relic
3
1:2,540,520
<0.01%
Base
1:2,540,520
<0.01%
Gold Logoman Dual Autograph Relics
Auto Relic
3
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Gold Logoman Autograph Relics
Auto Relic
6
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Back to Back Dual Gold Logoman Autograph Relics
Auto Relic
3
N/A
—
Expected Pulls Calculator
Combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category.
50.0%
Base Cards
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
0.894%
Variations
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
83.4%
Inserts
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
1.11%
Autographs
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
0.000%
Relics & Patches
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
Note: Percentages represent the combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category. These are statistical averages — actual results vary. Relics and Patch Autos without published odds are not included.
Box Type Comparison
Key pulls side-by-side across all box types.
Card GroupHobbyJumboValue BoxMegaBreaker DelightFanatics
Base Cards300 cards
1:3
33.3%
1:1
100%
1:4
25.0%
1:2
50.0%
1:1
100%
Not Available
Rookie Auto Variation
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rookie Patch Auto
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Shadow Etch20 cards
1:480
0.208%
1:192
0.521%
Not Available
Not Available
1:12
8.33%
Not Available
Helix15 cards
1:3,412
0.029%
1:5,067
0.020%
1:30,123
<0.01%
1:53,145
<0.01%
1:314
0.318%
1:80,200
<0.01%
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