2026 Topps Chrome Baseball Odds

2026 · Pull rates by box type

2026 Topps Chrome Baseball

Pull Odds by Card Group

See the odds of pulling each card group in 2026 Topps Chrome Baseball. Odds vary by box type — select a box below to see exact pull rates for that configuration. Orange rows are odds of 1:10 or better.

Filter by box type
Card GroupCategoryCardsOdds% Chance
Base Cards
Base
300
1:3
33.3%
Refractor
1:3
33.3%
X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Prism Refractor
1:5
20.0%
Red White and Blue Refractor
Not Available
—
Baseball Seams Refractor
Not Available
—
Topps Refractor
Not Available
—
Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Negative Refractor
1:43
2.33%
Pink Refractor
1:69
1.45%
Aqua Refractor
1:86
1.16%
Aqua Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Aqua X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Blue Refractor
1:114
0.877%
Blue Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Blue Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Blue X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Blue Topps Refractor
Not Available
—
Green Refractor
1:173
0.578%
Green Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Green X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Green Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Green Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Topps 75th Anniversary
1:228
0.439%
Purple Refractor
1:228
0.439%
Purple Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Gold Refractor
1:341
0.293%
Gold Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold X-Fractor
Not Available
—
White Refractor
1:569
0.176%
Orange Refractor
1:683
0.146%
Orange Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Black Refractor
1:1,705
0.059%
Black Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Black X-Fractor
Not Available
—
Red Refractor
1:3,416
0.029%
Red Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Frozenfractor
1:9,892
0.010%
Tie-Dye Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
1:16,958
<0.01%
Printing Plate/1
1:4,259
0.023%
Base Cards Image Variations
Variation
50
1:103
0.971%
Base
1:103
0.971%
Green Refractor
1:1,034
0.097%
Purple Refractor
1:1,364
0.073%
Gold Refractor
1:2,047
0.049%
Orange Refractor
1:4,094
0.024%
Black Refractor
1:10,248
<0.01%
Red Refractor
1:20,495
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:101,743
<0.01%
Sapphire
Not Available
—
Gold Sapphire
Not Available
—
Orange Sapphire
Not Available
—
Black Sapphire
Not Available
—
Red Sapphire
Not Available
—
Padpardascha
Not Available
—
Award Winners Base Variation
Variation
6
1:33,126
<0.01%
Base
1:33,126
<0.01%
Base Cards Lightboard Logo Variation
Variation
300
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
1991 Topps Baseball
Insert
30
1:9
11.1%
Base
1:9
11.1%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:1,723
0.058%
Purple
1:2,274
0.044%
Purple Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold
1:3,412
0.029%
Gold Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange
1:6,816
0.015%
Orange Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black
1:17,059
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red
1:34,323
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
1:167,577
<0.01%
Big Ticket Players
Insert
25
1:10
10.0%
Base
1:10
10.0%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:2,066
0.048%
Purple
1:2,727
0.037%
Purple Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold
1:4,094
0.024%
Gold Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange
1:8,163
0.012%
Orange Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black
1:20,495
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red
1:40,698
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
1:203,486
<0.01%
Wrecking Crew
Insert
25
1:10
10.0%
Base
1:10
10.0%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:2,066
0.048%
Purple
1:2,727
0.037%
Purple Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold
1:4,094
0.024%
Gold Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange
1:8,163
0.012%
Orange Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black
1:20,495
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red
1:40,698
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
1:203,486
<0.01%
Future Stars
Insert
10
1:25
4.00%
Base
1:25
4.00%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:5,161
0.019%
Purple
1:6,816
0.015%
Purple Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold
1:10,248
<0.01%
Gold Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange
1:20,495
<0.01%
Orange Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black
1:50,872
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red
1:101,743
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
1:474,800
<0.01%
Perspectives
Insert
10
1:25
4.00%
Base
1:25
4.00%
Geometric
Not Available
—
Green
1:5,161
0.019%
Purple
1:6,816
0.015%
Purple Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold
1:10,248
<0.01%
Gold Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange
1:20,495
<0.01%
Orange Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black
1:50,872
<0.01%
Black Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red
1:101,743
<0.01%
Red Wave Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
1:474,800
<0.01%
Wild Style
Insert
25
1:40
2.50%
Base
1:40
2.50%
Green
1:2,396
0.042%
Purple
1:3,162
0.032%
Gold
1:4,748
0.021%
Orange
1:9,465
0.011%
Black
1:23,740
<0.01%
Red
1:47,480
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:237,400
<0.01%
Chrome Rivals Home
Insert
25
1:40
2.50%
Base
1:40
2.50%
Green
1:2,396
0.042%
Purple
1:3,162
0.032%
Gold
1:4,748
0.021%
Orange
1:9,465
0.011%
Black
1:23,740
<0.01%
Red
1:47,480
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:237,400
<0.01%
Diamond Moments
Insert
50
1:120
0.833%
Base
1:120
0.833%
Purple Refractor
1:1,582
0.063%
Gold Refractor
1:2,374
0.042%
Orange Refractor
1:4,748
0.021%
Black Refractor
1:11,870
<0.01%
Red Refractor
1:23,740
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:118,700
<0.01%
Topps Chrome Radiating Rookies
Insert
20
1:480
0.208%
Base
1:480
0.208%
Superfractor/1
1:258,982
<0.01%
Shadow Etch
Insert
20
1:480
0.208%
Base
1:480
0.208%
Gold
1:9,892
0.010%
Orange
1:19,784
<0.01%
Black
1:49,118
<0.01%
Red
1:98,235
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:474,800
<0.01%
Hobby Masters
Insert
19
1:1,487
0.067%
Base
1:1,487
0.067%
Superfractor/1
1:406,972
<0.01%
Ultraviolet
Insert
15
1:1,516
0.066%
Base
1:1,516
0.066%
Superfractor/1
1:316,534
<0.01%
World Series at Night
Insert
10
1:1,705
0.059%
Base
1:1,705
0.059%
Helix
Insert
15
1:3,412
0.029%
Base
1:3,412
0.029%
Superfractor/1
1:316,534
<0.01%
Super Short Prints
Insert
10
1:5,115
0.020%
Base
1:5,115
0.020%
Topps Chrome Champion Refractors
Insert
16
1:6,402
0.016%
Gold
1:6,402
0.016%
Gold Superfractor
1:316,534
<0.01%
Class of 2025 Cooperstown Calls
Insert
5
1:11,350
<0.01%
Base
1:11,350
<0.01%
Green Refractor
1:10,322
<0.01%
Minions MLB
Insert
4
1:12,775
<0.01%
Base
1:12,775
<0.01%
Red Refractor
1:284,880
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:1,424,400
<0.01%
2025 Chrome MVP Buybacks
Insert
2
1:12,833
<0.01%
Refractor
1:12,833
<0.01%
Prism
1:17,059
<0.01%
X-Fractor
1:25,899
<0.01%
Negative Refractor
1:50,872
<0.01%
Numbers Live Forever
Insert
2
1:25,899
<0.01%
Base
1:25,899
<0.01%
Gold
1:50,872
<0.01%
Orange
1:101,743
<0.01%
Black
1:258,982
<0.01%
Red
1:474,800
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:2,848,800
<0.01%
Topps Chrome Expose
Insert
30
1:28,206
<0.01%
Base
1:28,206
<0.01%
Red
1:56,976
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:284,880
<0.01%
2025 MLB Commissioners Trophy
Insert
1
1:2,848,800
<0.01%
Base
1:2,848,800
<0.01%
Class of 2026 Cooperstown Calls
Insert
3
N/A
—
Static Noise
Insert
15
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Fanatical
Insert
10
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Gold
Not Available
—
Orange
Not Available
—
Black
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Past to Present
Insert
25
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Green
Not Available
—
Purple
Not Available
—
Gold
Not Available
—
Orange
Not Available
—
Black
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Chrome Rivals Away
Insert
25
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Green
Not Available
—
Purple
Not Available
—
Gold
Not Available
—
Orange
Not Available
—
Black
Not Available
—
Red
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Rookie Autographs
Auto
94
1:46
2.17%
Base
1:46
2.17%
Refractor
1:191
0.524%
Teal Refractor
1:299
0.334%
Yellow Refractor
1:326
0.307%
Pink Refractor
1:357
0.280%
Aqua Refractor
1:445
0.225%
Blue Refractor
1:577
0.173%
Green Refractor
1:886
0.113%
Green Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Green Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple Refractor
1:1,137
0.088%
Purple Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Refractor
1:1,680
0.060%
Gold Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
White Refractor
1:2,815
0.036%
Orange Refractor
1:3,319
0.030%
Orange Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Refractor
1:7,684
0.013%
Black Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Refractor
1:15,154
<0.01%
Red Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Tie-Dye Geometric Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
1:74,251
<0.01%
Printing Plate/1
1:19,039
<0.01%
Ink Strokes
Auto
71
1:500
0.200%
Base
1:500
0.200%
Blue
1:901
0.111%
Green
1:1,279
0.078%
Gold
1:2,347
0.043%
Orange
1:4,686
0.021%
Black
1:11,676
<0.01%
Red
1:23,161
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:113,952
<0.01%
Printing Plates/1
1:29,370
<0.01%
75th Diamond Autographs
Auto
69
1:964
0.104%
Base
1:964
0.104%
Blue
1:1,460
0.068%
Green
1:1,507
0.066%
Gold
1:2,663
0.038%
Orange
1:4,854
0.021%
Black
1:12,021
<0.01%
Red
1:23,940
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:118,700
<0.01%
Printing Plates/1
1:30,633
<0.01%
Chromographs
Auto
32
1:5,521
0.018%
Base
1:5,521
0.018%
Orange
1:9,625
0.010%
Black
1:24,143
<0.01%
Red
1:47,480
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:237,400
<0.01%
World Series Champions Autographs
Auto
33
1:6,194
0.016%
Base
1:6,194
0.016%
Superfractor/1
1:712,200
<0.01%
Chrome Legend Autographs
Auto
47
1:8,187
0.012%
Gold Refractor
1:8,187
0.012%
Orange Refractor
1:16,095
<0.01%
Black Refractor
1:36,998
<0.01%
Red Refractor
1:73,047
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:356,100
<0.01%
Printing Plate/1
1:98,235
<0.01%
Future Stars Autographs
Auto
8
1:10,031
<0.01%
Base
1:10,031
<0.01%
Gold
1:19,380
<0.01%
Orange
1:38,498
<0.01%
Black
1:98,235
<0.01%
Red
1:189,920
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:949,600
<0.01%
2025 World Champions Autograph Refractor
Auto
17
1:1,2175
<0.01%
Gold Refractor
1:1,2175
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:569,760
<0.01%
Perspectives Autographs
Auto
6
1:18,146
<0.01%
Base
1:18,146
<0.01%
Gold
1:52,756
<0.01%
Orange
1:51,797
<0.01%
Black
1:129,491
<0.01%
Red
1:258,982
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:1,424,400
<0.01%
Topps Chrome Radiating Rookies Autographs
Auto
15
1:18,499
<0.01%
Base
1:18,499
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:474,800
<0.01%
1991 Topps Baseball Autographs
Auto
6
1:31,306
<0.01%
Base
1:31,306
<0.01%
Gold
1:32,373
<0.01%
Orange
1:61,931
<0.01%
Black
1:149,937
<0.01%
Red
1:316,534
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:1,424,400
<0.01%
Dual Autographs
Auto
8
1:49,118
<0.01%
Base
1:49,118
<0.01%
Black
1:105,512
<0.01%
Red
1:189,920
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:949,600
<0.01%
Numbers Live Forever Autograph Variation
Auto
2
1:81,395
<0.01%
Base
1:81,395
<0.01%
Orange
1:167,577
<0.01%
Black
1:406,972
<0.01%
Red
1:949,600
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:2,848,800
<0.01%
Cooperstown Calls Autograph Variation
Auto
3
1:101,743
<0.01%
Base
1:101,743
<0.01%
Black
1:258,982
<0.01%
Red
1:474,800
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:2,848,800
<0.01%
2025 Chrome MVP Buybacks Autographs
Auto
2
1:149,936
<0.01%
Base
1:149,936
<0.01%
Topps Autograph Card Jerry Seinfeld
Auto
1
1:316,534
<0.01%
Base
1:316,534
<0.01%
Black Refractor
1:949,600
<0.01%
Red Refractor
1:1,424,400
<0.01%
Superfractor/1
1:2,848,800
<0.01%
Fanatics Authentics Redemption Cards
Auto
30
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Retail Rookie Autographs
Auto
30
N/A
—
Base
Not Available
—
Refractor
Not Available
—
Teal Refractor
Not Available
—
Yellow Refractor
Not Available
—
Pink Refractor
Not Available
—
Aqua Refractor
Not Available
—
Blue Refractor
Not Available
—
Green Refractor
Not Available
—
Green Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple Refractor
Not Available
—
Purple Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Refractor
Not Available
—
Gold Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
White Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange Refractor
Not Available
—
Orange Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Refractor
Not Available
—
Black Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Refractor
Not Available
—
Red Raywave Refractor
Not Available
—
Superfractor/1
Not Available
—
Printing Plate/1
Not Available
—
Chrome Autographs
Auto
6
N/A
—
Gold Logoman Relics
Relic
6
1:316,534
<0.01%
Base
1:316,534
<0.01%
Gold Logoman Dual Relics
Relic
3
1:569,760
<0.01%
Base
1:569,760
<0.01%
Gold Logoman Autograph Relics
Auto Relic
6
1:1,424,400
<0.01%
Base
1:1,424,400
<0.01%
Gold Logoman Dual Autograph Relics
Auto Relic
3
1:2,848,800
<0.01%
Base
1:2,848,800
<0.01%
Back to Back Dual Gold Logoman Autograph Relics
Auto Relic
3
N/A
—

Expected Pulls Calculator

Combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category.

33.3%
Base Cards
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
0.974%
Variations
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
45.6%
Inserts
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
2.56%
Autographs
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
0.001%
Relics & Patches
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

Note: Percentages represent the combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category. These are statistical averages — actual results vary. Relics and Patch Autos without published odds are not included.

Box Type Comparison

Key pulls side-by-side across all box types.

Card GroupHobbyJumboValue BoxMegaBreaker DelightFanatics
Base Cards300 cards
1:3
33.3%
1:1
100%
1:4
25.0%
1:2
50.0%
1:1
100%
Not Available
Rookie Auto Variation
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rookie Patch Auto
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Shadow Etch20 cards
1:480
0.208%
1:192
0.521%
Not Available
Not Available
1:12
8.33%
Not Available
Helix15 cards
1:3,412
0.029%
1:5,067
0.020%
1:30,123
<0.01%
1:53,145
<0.01%
1:314
0.318%
1:80,200
<0.01%
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