2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball Odds

2025 · Pull rates by box type

Pull Odds by Card Group

See the odds of pulling each card group in 2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball. Odds vary by box type — select a box below to see exact pull rates for that configuration. Orange rows are odds of 1:10 or better.

Filter by box type

HTA Hobby HTA Jumbo HTA Breaker HTA Sapphire Value Box SE Hanger Box Mega Box EA Fanatics Bulk Pack Fanatics Mega Box Refractor Box Set (F12)

Card GroupCategoryCardsOdds% Chance

Base Cards

Base

300

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Prism

Not Available

—

Refractors Negative

Not Available

—

Refractors Magenta

Not Available

—

Refractors Teal

Not Available

—

Refractors Yellow

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Frozenfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Wave

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue Wave

Not Available

—

Refractors Green Wave

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple Wave

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold Wave

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange Wave

Not Available

—

Refractors Black Wave

Not Available

—

Refractors Red Wave

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Sapphire

1:1

100%

Sapphire Purple

1:22

4.55%

Sapphire Gold

1:6

16.7%

Sapphire Orange

1:12

8.33%

Sapphire Black

1:28

3.57%

Sapphire Red

1:56

1.79%

Refractors Padpardascha

1:278

0.360%

Refractors Yellow Basketball

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua Basketball

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue Basketball

Not Available

—

Refractors Green Basketball

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple Basketball

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold Basketball

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange Basketball

Not Available

—

Refractors Black Basketball

Not Available

—

Refractors Red Basketball

Not Available

—

Refractors Basketball

Not Available

—

Refractors Red White and Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave Yellow

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave Green

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave Black

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave Red

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave

Not Available

—

X-Fractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Skylight

Not Available

—

Refractors First Day Issue

Not Available

—

Base Card Variations

Variation

N/A

—

Refractors Green Speckle

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold Speckle

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange Speckle

Not Available

—

Refractors Black Speckle

Not Available

—

Refractors Red Speckle

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Sapphire Selections

Insert

1:11

9.09%

Gold

1:84

1.19%

Orange

1:167

0.599%

Red

1:833

0.120%

Superfractors

1:4040

0.025%

Infinite Sapphire

Insert

1:160

0.625%

Youthquake

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Sleek Finishers

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Destiny

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Instinct

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Voices

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Generation Rising

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Tall Tales

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Clutch Gene

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Xs And Whoas

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Rock Stars

Insert

N/A

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Lets Go

Insert

N/A

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Ultra Violet

Insert

N/A

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Radiating Rookies

Insert

N/A

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Helix

Insert

N/A

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Go Time

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave

Not Available

—

Refractors Magenta

Not Available

—

Refractors Teal

Not Available

—

Refractors Yellow

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar

Not Available

—

Ball Of Duty

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave

Not Available

—

Refractors Magenta

Not Available

—

Refractors Teal

Not Available

—

Refractors Yellow

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar

Not Available

—

Inspirational

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave

Not Available

—

Refractors Magenta

Not Available

—

Refractors Teal

Not Available

—

Refractors Yellow

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar

Not Available

—

Activators

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave

Not Available

—

Refractors Magenta

Not Available

—

Refractors Teal

Not Available

—

Refractors Yellow

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar

Not Available

—

Serenity

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave

Not Available

—

Refractors Magenta

Not Available

—

Refractors Teal

Not Available

—

Refractors Yellow

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar

Not Available

—

Advisory

Insert

N/A

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Glass Canvas

Insert

N/A

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Paradox

Insert

N/A

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Patented

Insert

N/A

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Fanatical

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Finals

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Topps Chrome Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Refactors

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Sapphire Gold

1:210

0.476%

Sapphire Orange

1:202

0.495%

Sapphire Black

1:539

0.186%

Sapphire Red

1:1078

0.093%

Sapphire Padpardascha

1:5387

0.019%

Topps Chrome Autographs Rookies

Auto

N/A

—

Refactors

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Sapphire Gold

1:58

1.72%

Sapphire Orange

1:86

1.16%

Sapphire Black

1:225

0.444%

Sapphire Red

1:539

0.186%

Sapphire Padpardascha

1:3367

0.030%

Sky Write Signatures

Auto

N/A

—

Refactors

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Sapphire Gold

1:186

0.538%

Sapphire Orange

1:202

0.495%

Sapphire Black

1:385

0.260%

Sapphire Red

1:770

0.130%

Sapphire Padpardascha

1:3848

0.026%

Topps Autograph Issue Rookies

Auto

N/A

—

Refactors

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Sapphire Gold

1:65

1.54%

Sapphire Orange

1:116

0.862%

Sapphire Black

1:324

0.309%

Sapphire Red

1:539

0.186%

Sapphire Padpardascha

1:4489

0.022%

Topps Autograph Issue Rookies 2

Auto

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Next Stop Signatures

Auto

N/A

—

Refactors

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Sapphire Gold

1:191

0.524%

Sapphire Orange

1:116

0.862%

Sapphire Black

1:324

0.309%

Sapphire Red

1:674

0.148%

Sapphire Padpardascha

1:4489

0.022%

Signature Style

Auto

N/A

—

Refactors

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange Topps Chrome Autographs Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Sapphire Orange

1:108

0.926%

Sapphire Black

1:337

0.297%

Sapphire Red

1:674

0.148%

Sapphire Padpardascha

1:3367

0.030%

Topps Autograph Issue

Auto

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Future Stars Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Chromographs

Auto

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Chromographs Rookie

Auto

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Stratospheric Signatures

Auto

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Stratospheric Signatures Rookies

Auto

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Topps Chrome Autographs II

Auto

N/A

—

Topps Chrome Gold Logoman

Relic

N/A

—

Topps Chrome Gold Logoman Relics Redemption Card

Relic

N/A

—

Topps Chrome Gold Logoman II

Relic

N/A

—

Topps Chrome Gold Logoman II Autograph Relics Redemption Card

Relic

N/A

—

Expected Pulls Calculator

Combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category.

N/A

Base Cards

Not available in this box type

N/A

Variations

Not available in this box type

9.72%

Inserts

Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

N/A

Autographs

Not available in this box type

N/A

Relics & Patches

Not available in this box type

Note: Percentages represent the combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category. These are statistical averages — actual results vary. Relics and Patch Autos without published odds are not included.

Box Type Comparison

Key pulls side-by-side across all box types.

Card GroupHTA HobbyHTA JumboHTA BreakerHTA SapphireValue Box SEHanger BoxMega Box EAFanatics Bulk PackFanatics Mega BoxRefractor Box Set (F12)

Base Cards300 cards

3:1

100%

1:1

100%

Not Available

3:1

100%

9:1

100%

3:1

100%

3:1

100%

3:1

100%

Not Available

Rookie Auto Variation

N/A

Rookie Patch Auto

N/A

Shadow Etch

N/A

Helix20 cards

1:3205

0.031%

1:956

0.105%

1:160

0.625%

Not Available

1:31709

<0.01%

1:3666

0.027%

1:15550

<0.01%

1:393

0.254%

1:23412

<0.01%

Not Available

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