Box Analysis
2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball · 2025
Odds Table
All card groups sorted by category and odds. Orange rows are odds of 1:10 or better.
Card GroupCategoryCardsOdds% Chance
Base Cards
Base
300
3:1
100%
Base Card Variations
Variation
50
1:868
0.115%
Ball Of Duty
Insert
25
1:16
6.25%
Go Time
Insert
25
1:17
5.88%
Inspirational
Insert
20
1:20
5.00%
Activators
Insert
15
1:27
3.70%
Serenity
Insert
15
1:27
3.70%
Sleek Finishers
Insert
30
1:36
2.78%
Destiny
Insert
25
1:43
2.33%
Instinct
Insert
20
1:53
1.89%
Youthquake
Insert
15
1:71
1.41%
Fanatical
Insert
25
1:71
1.41%
Voices
Insert
10
1:106
0.943%
Paradox
Insert
30
1:469
0.213%
Patented
Insert
30
1:469
0.213%
Advisory
Insert
20
1:691
0.145%
Glass Canvas
Insert
20
1:703
0.142%
Ultra Violet
Insert
15
1:21070
<0.01%
Helix
Insert
20
1:23412
<0.01%
Lets Go
Insert
15
1:70234
<0.01%
Loading
Insert
15
N/A
—
Generation Rising
Insert
20
N/A
—
Tall Tales
Insert
25
N/A
—
Clutch Gene
Insert
30
N/A
—
Xs And Whoas
Insert
10
N/A
—
Rock Stars
Insert
20
N/A
—
Radiating Rookies
Insert
10
N/A
—
Sapphire Selections
Insert
20
N/A
—
Infinite Sapphire
Insert
20
N/A
—
Finals
Insert
10
N/A
—
Topps Chrome Autographs Rookies
Auto
40
1:301
0.332%
Topps Autograph Issue Rookies 2
Auto
25
1:1054
0.095%
Topps Autograph Issue
Auto
38
1:1054
0.095%
Future Stars Autographs
Auto
30
1:2107
0.047%
Chromographs Rookie
Auto
20
1:2107
0.047%
Stratospheric Signatures Rookies
Auto
25
1:2107
0.047%
Chromographs
Auto
28
1:2634
0.038%
Stratospheric Signatures
Auto
23
1:4052
0.025%
Topps Chrome Autographs
Auto
24
1:5268
0.019%
Sky Write Signatures
Auto
33
N/A
—
Topps Autograph Issue Rookies
Auto
30
N/A
—
Next Stop Signatures
Auto
30
N/A
—
Signature Style
Auto
37
N/A
—
Topps Chrome Autographs II
Auto
1
N/A
—
Topps Chrome Gold Logoman
Relic
3
N/A
—
Topps Chrome Gold Logoman Relics Redemption Card
Relic
3
N/A
—
Topps Chrome Gold Logoman II
Relic
3
N/A
—
Topps Chrome Gold Logoman II Autograph Relics Redemption Card
Relic
3
N/A
—
Expected Pulls Calculator
Combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category.
Guaranteed
Base Cards
In every pack
0.115%
Variations
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
36.0%
Inserts
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
0.746%
Autographs
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
N/A
Relics & Patches
Not available in this box type
Note: Percentages represent the combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category. These are statistical averages — actual results vary. Relics and Patch Autos without published odds are not included.
Box Type Comparison
Key pulls side-by-side across all box types.
Card GroupHTA HobbyHTA JumboHTA BreakerHTA SapphireValue Box SEHanger BoxMega Box EAFanatics Bulk PackFanatics Mega BoxRefractor Box Set (F12)
Base Cards300 cards
3:1
100%
1:1
100%
Not Available
Not Available
3:1
100%
9:1
100%
3:1
100%
3:1
100%
3:1
100%
Not Available
Rookie Auto Variation
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rookie Patch Auto
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Shadow Etch
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Helix20 cards
1:3205
0.031%
1:956
0.105%
1:160
0.625%
Not Available
1:31709
<0.01%
1:3666
0.027%
1:15550
<0.01%
1:393
0.254%
1:23412
<0.01%
Not Available
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