2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball Odds

2025 · Pull rates by box type

Pull Odds by Card Group

See the odds of pulling each card group in 2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball. Odds vary by box type — select a box below to see exact pull rates for that configuration. Orange rows are odds of 1:10 or better.

Filter by box type

HTA Hobby HTA Jumbo HTA Breaker HTA Sapphire Value Box SE Hanger Box Mega Box EA Fanatics Bulk Pack Fanatics Mega Box Refractor Box Set (F12)

Card GroupCategoryCardsOdds% Chance

Base Cards

Base

300

3:1

100%

Refractors

1:7

14.3%

Refractors Prism

Not Available

—

Refractors Negative

Not Available

—

Refractors Magenta

1:125

0.800%

Refractors Teal

1:1000

0.100%

Refractors Yellow

1:1000

0.100%

Refractors Aqua

1:3334

0.030%

Refractors Blue

1:3334

0.030%

Refractors Green

1:10000

0.010%

Refractors Purple

1:10000

0.010%

Refractors Gold

1:20000

<0.01%

Refractors Orange

1:33334

<0.01%

Refractors Black

1:100000

<0.01%

Refractors Red

1:100000

<0.01%

Superfractors

1:100000

<0.01%

Frozenfractors

1:100000

<0.01%

Refractors Wave

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue Wave

Not Available

—

Refractors Green Wave

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple Wave

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold Wave

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange Wave

Not Available

—

Refractors Black Wave

Not Available

—

Refractors Red Wave

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Sapphire

Not Available

—

Sapphire Purple

Not Available

—

Sapphire Gold

Not Available

—

Sapphire Orange

Not Available

—

Sapphire Black

Not Available

—

Sapphire Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Padpardascha

Not Available

—

Refractors Yellow Basketball

1:87

1.15%

Refractors Aqua Basketball

1:234

0.427%

Refractors Blue Basketball

1:309

0.324%

Refractors Green Basketball

1:470

0.213%

Refractors Purple Basketball

1:618

0.162%

Refractors Gold Basketball

1:926

0.108%

Refractors Orange Basketball

1:1852

0.054%

Refractors Black Basketball

1:4762

0.021%

Refractors Red Basketball

1:10000

0.010%

Refractors Basketball

1:5

20.0%

Refractors Red White and Blue

1:4

25.0%

Refractors Pulsar Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave Yellow

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave Green

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave Black

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave Red

Not Available

—

Refractors RayWave

Not Available

—

X-Fractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Skylight

Not Available

—

Refractors First Day Issue

Not Available

—

Base Card Variations

Variation

N/A

—

Refractors Green Speckle

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold Speckle

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange Speckle

Not Available

—

Refractors Black Speckle

Not Available

—

Refractors Red Speckle

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Go Time

Insert

1:36

2.78%

Refractors

1:67

1.49%

Refractors RayWave

Not Available

—

Refractors Magenta

1:1042

0.096%

Refractors Teal

1:1389

0.072%

Refractors Yellow

1:1516

0.066%

Refractors Aqua

1:2084

0.048%

Refractors Blue

1:2778

0.036%

Refractors Green

1:4167

0.024%

Refractors Purple

1:5556

0.018%

Refractors Gold

1:8334

0.012%

Refractors Orange

1:16667

<0.01%

Refractors Black

1:50000

<0.01%

Refractors Red

1:100000

<0.01%

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar

Not Available

—

Ball Of Duty

Insert

1:36

2.78%

Refractors

1:67

1.49%

Refractors RayWave

Not Available

—

Refractors Magenta

1:1042

0.096%

Refractors Teal

1:1389

0.072%

Refractors Yellow

1:1516

0.066%

Refractors Aqua

1:2084

0.048%

Refractors Blue

1:2778

0.036%

Refractors Green

1:4167

0.024%

Refractors Purple

1:5556

0.018%

Refractors Gold

1:8334

0.012%

Refractors Orange

1:16667

<0.01%

Refractors Black

1:50000

<0.01%

Refractors Red

1:100000

<0.01%

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar

Not Available

—

Inspirational

Insert

1:44

2.27%

Refractors

1:84

1.19%

Refractors RayWave

Not Available

—

Refractors Magenta

1:1299

0.077%

Refractors Teal

1:1725

0.058%

Refractors Yellow

1:1887

0.053%

Refractors Aqua

1:2632

0.038%

Refractors Blue

1:3449

0.029%

Refractors Green

1:5264

0.019%

Refractors Purple

1:7143

0.014%

Refractors Gold

1:11112

<0.01%

Refractors Orange

1:25000

<0.01%

Refractors Black

1:100000

<0.01%

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar

Not Available

—

Sleek Finishers

Insert

1:56

1.79%

Refractors

1:112

0.893%

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Activators

Insert

1:59

1.69%

Refractors

1:112

0.893%

Refractors RayWave

Not Available

—

Refractors Magenta

1:1725

0.058%

Refractors Teal

1:2326

0.043%

Refractors Yellow

1:2500

0.040%

Refractors Aqua

1:3572

0.028%

Refractors Blue

1:4762

0.021%

Refractors Green

1:7143

0.014%

Refractors Purple

1:10000

0.010%

Refractors Gold

1:14286

<0.01%

Refractors Orange

1:33334

<0.01%

Refractors Black

1:100000

<0.01%

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar

Not Available

—

Serenity

Insert

1:59

1.69%

Refractors

1:112

0.893%

Refractors RayWave

Not Available

—

Refractors Magenta

1:1725

0.058%

Refractors Teal

1:2326

0.043%

Refractors Yellow

1:2500

0.040%

Refractors Aqua

1:3572

0.028%

Refractors Blue

1:4762

0.021%

Refractors Green

1:7143

0.014%

Refractors Purple

1:10000

0.010%

Refractors Gold

1:14286

<0.01%

Refractors Orange

1:33334

<0.01%

Refractors Black

1:100000

<0.01%

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Pulsar

Not Available

—

Destiny

Insert

1:67

1.49%

Refractors

1:134

0.746%

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Instinct

Insert

1:84

1.19%

Refractors

1:167

0.599%

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Youthquake

Insert

1:112

0.893%

Refractors

1:223

0.448%

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Voices

Insert

1:167

0.599%

Refractors

1:334

0.299%

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Helix

Insert

1:393

0.254%

Superfractors

1:100000

<0.01%

Paradox

Insert

1:834

0.120%

Superfractors

1:100000

<0.01%

Patented

Insert

1:834

0.120%

Superfractors

1:100000

<0.01%

Lets Go

Insert

1:1021

0.098%

Superfractors

1:100000

<0.01%

Glass Canvas

Insert

1:1250

0.080%

Superfractors

1:100000

<0.01%

Advisory

Insert

1:2632

0.038%

Superfractors

1:100000

<0.01%

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Generation Rising

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Tall Tales

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Clutch Gene

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Xs And Whoas

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Aqua

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Rock Stars

Insert

N/A

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Ultra Violet

Insert

N/A

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Radiating Rookies

Insert

N/A

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Sapphire Selections

Insert

N/A

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Infinite Sapphire

Insert

N/A

—

Fanatical

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Finals

Insert

N/A

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Topps Autograph Issue

Auto

1:1000

0.100%

Refractors

1:2000

0.050%

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Stratospheric Signatures

Auto

1:1450

0.069%

Refractors

1:4000

0.025%

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Topps Autograph Issue Rookies 2

Auto

1:1667

0.060%

Refractors

1:2500

0.040%

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Future Stars Autographs

Auto

1:1667

0.060%

Refractors

1:2500

0.040%

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Chromographs Rookie

Auto

1:2000

0.050%

Refractors

1:5000

0.020%

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Stratospheric Signatures Rookies

Auto

1:2000

0.050%

Refractors

1:4000

0.025%

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Topps Chrome Autographs Rookies

Auto

1:2500

0.040%

Refactors

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Sapphire Gold

Not Available

—

Sapphire Orange

Not Available

—

Sapphire Black

Not Available

—

Sapphire Red

Not Available

—

Sapphire Padpardascha

Not Available

—

Chromographs

Auto

1:3334

0.030%

Refractors

1:3334

0.030%

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Topps Chrome Autographs

Auto

1:4000

0.025%

Refactors

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Sapphire Gold

Not Available

—

Sapphire Orange

Not Available

—

Sapphire Black

Not Available

—

Sapphire Red

Not Available

—

Sapphire Padpardascha

Not Available

—

Sky Write Signatures

Auto

N/A

—

Refactors

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Sapphire Gold

Not Available

—

Sapphire Orange

Not Available

—

Sapphire Black

Not Available

—

Sapphire Red

Not Available

—

Sapphire Padpardascha

Not Available

—

Topps Autograph Issue Rookies

Auto

N/A

—

Refactors

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Sapphire Gold

Not Available

—

Sapphire Orange

Not Available

—

Sapphire Black

Not Available

—

Sapphire Red

Not Available

—

Sapphire Padpardascha

Not Available

—

Next Stop Signatures

Auto

N/A

—

Refactors

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Sapphire Gold

Not Available

—

Sapphire Orange

Not Available

—

Sapphire Black

Not Available

—

Sapphire Red

Not Available

—

Sapphire Padpardascha

Not Available

—

Signature Style

Auto

N/A

—

Refactors

Not Available

—

Refractors Blue

Not Available

—

Refractors Green

Not Available

—

Refractors Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Red

Not Available

—

Superfractors

Not Available

—

Refractors Orange Topps Chrome Autographs Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Purple

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Gold

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Orange

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Black

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric Red

Not Available

—

Refractors Geometric White

Not Available

—

Sapphire Orange

Not Available

—

Sapphire Black

Not Available

—

Sapphire Red

Not Available

—

Sapphire Padpardascha

Not Available

—

Topps Chrome Autographs II

Auto

N/A

—

Topps Chrome Gold Logoman

Relic

N/A

—

Topps Chrome Gold Logoman Relics Redemption Card

Relic

N/A

—

Topps Chrome Gold Logoman II

Relic

N/A

—

Topps Chrome Gold Logoman II Autograph Relics Redemption Card

Relic

N/A

—

Expected Pulls Calculator

Combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category.

Guaranteed

Base Cards

In every pack

N/A

Variations

Not available in this box type

17.9%

Inserts

Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

0.484%

Autographs

Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

N/A

Relics & Patches

Not available in this box type

Note: Percentages represent the combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category. These are statistical averages — actual results vary. Relics and Patch Autos without published odds are not included.

Box Type Comparison

Key pulls side-by-side across all box types.

Card GroupHTA HobbyHTA JumboHTA BreakerHTA SapphireValue Box SEHanger BoxMega Box EAFanatics Bulk PackFanatics Mega BoxRefractor Box Set (F12)

Base Cards300 cards

3:1

100%

1:1

100%

Not Available

3:1

100%

9:1

100%

3:1

100%

3:1

100%

3:1

100%

Not Available

Rookie Auto Variation

N/A

Rookie Patch Auto

N/A

Shadow Etch

N/A

Helix20 cards

1:3205

0.031%

1:956

0.105%

1:160

0.625%

Not Available

1:31709

<0.01%

1:3666

0.027%

1:15550

<0.01%

1:393

0.254%

1:23412

<0.01%

Not Available

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