Box Analysis
2025-26 Topps Chrome Basketball · 2025
Odds Table
All card groups sorted by category and odds. Orange rows are odds of 1:10 or better.
Card GroupCategoryCardsOdds% Chance
Base Cards
Base
300
1:1
100%
Base Card Variations
Variation
50
1:39
2.56%
Sleek Finishers
Insert
30
1:7
14.3%
Clutch Gene
Insert
30
1:7
14.3%
Destiny
Insert
25
1:8
12.5%
Tall Tales
Insert
25
1:8
12.5%
Instinct
Insert
20
1:10
10.0%
Generation Rising
Insert
20
1:10
10.0%
Youthquake
Insert
15
1:13
7.69%
Loading
Insert
15
1:13
7.69%
Voices
Insert
10
1:19
5.26%
Xs And Whoas
Insert
10
1:19
5.26%
Rock Stars
Insert
20
1:147
0.680%
Ultra Violet
Insert
15
1:289
0.346%
Radiating Rookies
Insert
10
1:434
0.230%
Helix
Insert
20
1:956
0.105%
Lets Go
Insert
15
1:2505
0.040%
Sapphire Selections
Insert
20
N/A
—
Infinite Sapphire
Insert
20
N/A
—
Go Time
Insert
25
N/A
—
Ball Of Duty
Insert
25
N/A
—
Inspirational
Insert
20
N/A
—
Activators
Insert
15
N/A
—
Serenity
Insert
15
N/A
—
Advisory
Insert
20
N/A
—
Glass Canvas
Insert
20
N/A
—
Paradox
Insert
30
N/A
—
Patented
Insert
30
N/A
—
Fanatical
Insert
25
N/A
—
Finals
Insert
10
N/A
—
Topps Chrome Autographs Rookies
Auto
40
1:12
8.33%
Topps Autograph Issue Rookies
Auto
30
1:56
1.79%
Next Stop Signatures
Auto
30
1:72
1.39%
Sky Write Signatures
Auto
33
1:110
0.909%
Signature Style
Auto
37
1:135
0.741%
Topps Chrome Autographs
Auto
24
1:693
0.144%
Topps Autograph Issue Rookies 2
Auto
25
N/A
—
Topps Autograph Issue
Auto
38
N/A
—
Future Stars Autographs
Auto
30
N/A
—
Chromographs
Auto
28
N/A
—
Chromographs Rookie
Auto
20
N/A
—
Stratospheric Signatures
Auto
23
N/A
—
Stratospheric Signatures Rookies
Auto
25
N/A
—
Topps Chrome Autographs II
Auto
1
N/A
—
Topps Chrome Gold Logoman
Relic
3
N/A
—
Topps Chrome Gold Logoman Relics Redemption Card
Relic
3
N/A
—
Topps Chrome Gold Logoman II
Relic
3
N/A
—
Topps Chrome Gold Logoman II Autograph Relics Redemption Card
Relic
3
N/A
—
Expected Pulls Calculator
Combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category.
Guaranteed
Base Cards
In every pack
2.56%
Variations
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
Guaranteed
Inserts
In every pack
13.3%
Autographs
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
N/A
Relics & Patches
Not available in this box type
Note: Percentages represent the combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category. These are statistical averages — actual results vary. Relics and Patch Autos without published odds are not included.
Box Type Comparison
Key pulls side-by-side across all box types.
Card GroupHTA HobbyHTA JumboHTA BreakerHTA SapphireValue Box SEHanger BoxMega Box EAFanatics Bulk PackFanatics Mega BoxRefractor Box Set (F12)
Base Cards300 cards
3:1
100%
1:1
100%
Not Available
Not Available
3:1
100%
9:1
100%
3:1
100%
3:1
100%
3:1
100%
Not Available
Rookie Auto Variation
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Rookie Patch Auto
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Shadow Etch
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Helix20 cards
1:3205
0.031%
1:956
0.105%
1:160
0.625%
Not Available
1:31709
<0.01%
1:3666
0.027%
1:15550
<0.01%
1:393
0.254%
1:23412
<0.01%
Not Available
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