2026 Bowman Football Odds

2026 · Pull rates by box type

Pull Odds by Card Group

See the odds of pulling each card group in 2026 Bowman Football. Odds vary by box type — select a box below to see exact pull rates for that configuration. Orange rows are odds of 1:10 or better.

Filter by box type

Hobby Jumbo Mega Box Value Box FDI Breaker

Card GroupCategoryCardsOdds% Chance

Base

100

1:1

100%

Base

1:1

100%

Yellow

Not Available

—

Pink

Not Available

—

Aqua

Not Available

—

Blue

Not Available

—

Green

Not Available

—

Purple

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Black

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Platinum

Not Available

—

Base Rookie

Base

100

1:1

100%

Base

1:1

100%

Yellow

Not Available

—

Pink

Not Available

—

Aqua

Not Available

—

Blue

Not Available

—

Green

Not Available

—

Purple

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Black

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Platinum

Not Available

—

Paper Prospects

Base

201

1:2

50.0%

Base

1:2

50.0%

Yellow

Not Available

—

Pink

Not Available

—

Aqua

Not Available

—

Blue

Not Available

—

Green

Not Available

—

Purple

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Black

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Platinum

Not Available

—

Chrome NFL Base

Base

100

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Speckle Refractor

Not Available

—

Mini-Diamond Refractor

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Neon Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Fuchsia Refractor

Not Available

—

Yellow Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Shimmer Refractor

Not Available

—

Gridiron Refractor

Not Available

—

Steel Metal Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Shimmer Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple X-Fractor

Not Available

—

Purple Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Shimmer Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Shimmer Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

Not Available

—

Black X-Fractor

Not Available

—

FDI Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Lava Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

Red X-Fractor

Not Available

—

FireFractor

1:12,303

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Mojo

1:3

33.3%

Yellow Mojo

1:84

1.19%

Blue Mojo

1:153

0.654%

Aqua Mojo

1:116

0.862%

Green Mojo

1:232

0.431%

Purple Mojo

1:307

0.326%

Gold Mojo

1:459

0.218%

Orange Mojo

1:919

0.109%

Black Mojo

1:2,295

0.044%

Red Mojo

1:4,614

0.022%

Rose Gold Mojo

1:23,558

<0.01%

Geometric

Not Available

—

Orange Geometric

Not Available

—

Black Geometric

Not Available

—

Red Geometric

Not Available

—

Chrome Rookie Base

Base

100

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Speckle Refractor

Not Available

—

Mini-Diamond Refractor

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Neon Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Fuchsia Refractor

Not Available

—

Yellow Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Shimmer Refractor

Not Available

—

Gridiron Refractor

Not Available

—

Steel Metal Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Shimmer Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple X-Fractor

Not Available

—

Purple Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Shimmer Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Shimmer Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

Not Available

—

Black X-Fractor

Not Available

—

FDI Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Lava Refractor

Not Available

—

Red X-Fractor

Not Available

—

FireFractor

1:12,303

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Mojo

1:3

33.3%

Yellow Mojo

1:84

1.19%

Blue Mojo

1:153

0.654%

Aqua Mojo

1:116

0.862%

Green Mojo

1:232

0.431%

Purple Mojo

1:307

0.326%

Gold Mojo

1:459

0.218%

Orange Mojo

1:919

0.109%

Black Mojo

1:2,295

0.044%

Red Mojo

1:4,614

0.022%

Rose Gold Mojo

1:23,558

<0.01%

Geometric

Not Available

—

Orange Geometric

Not Available

—

Black Geometric

Not Available

—

Red Geometric

Not Available

—

Chrome Prospects

Base

201

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Speckle Refractor

Not Available

—

Mini-Diamond Refractor

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Neon Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Fuchsia Refractor

Not Available

—

Yellow Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Shimmer Refractor

Not Available

—

Gridiron Refractor

Not Available

—

Steel Metal Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Shimmer Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple X-Fractor

Not Available

—

Purple Wave Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Shimmer Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Shimmer Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

Not Available

—

Black X-Fractor

Not Available

—

FDI Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Lava Refractor

Not Available

—

Red X-Fractor

Not Available

—

FireFractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Mojo

1:3

33.3%

Yellow Mojo

1:84

1.19%

Blue Mojo

1:153

0.654%

Aqua Mojo

1:116

0.862%

Green Mojo

1:232

0.431%

Purple Mojo

1:306

0.327%

Gold Mojo

1:459

0.218%

Orange Mojo

1:918

0.109%

Black Mojo

1:2,295

0.044%

Red Mojo

1:4,590

0.022%

Rose Gold Mojo

1:22,949

<0.01%

Geometric

Not Available

—

Orange Geometric

Not Available

—

Black Geometric

Not Available

—

Red Geometric

Not Available

—

Rookie Red RC Variation

Variation

1:18

5.56%

Base

1:18

5.56%

Chrome Etched in Glass NFL

Variation

N/A

—

Refractor

1:2,715

0.037%

Chrome Etched in Glass NIL

Variation

N/A

—

Refractor

1:2,715

0.037%

Mega Prospects

Insert

1:13

7.69%

Base

1:13

7.69%

Blue Mojo

1:613

0.163%

Green Mojo

1:928

0.108%

Purple Mojo

1:1,225

0.082%

Gold Mojo

1:1,840

0.054%

Orange Mojo

1:3,685

0.027%

Black Mojo

1:9,267

0.011%

Red Mojo

1:18,612

<0.01%

Rose Gold Mojo

1:100,705

<0.01%

Mega Rookies

Insert

1:13

7.69%

Base

1:13

7.69%

Blue Mojo

1:613

0.163%

Green Mojo

1:928

0.108%

Purple Mojo

1:1,225

0.082%

Gold Mojo

1:1,840

0.054%

Orange Mojo

1:3,685

0.027%

Black Mojo

1:9,267

0.011%

Red Mojo

1:18,612

<0.01%

Rose Gold Mojo

1:100,705

<0.01%

Chrome Retrofractor

Insert

1:20,359

<0.01%

Base

1:20,359

<0.01%

Gold Refractor

1:83,613

<0.01%

Orange Refractor

1:170,941

<0.01%

Black Refractor

1:462,963

<0.01%

Red Refractor

1:1,123,596

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

1955 All American

Insert

N/A

—

Stars

Not Available

—

Red, White & Blue

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Anime NFL

Insert

N/A

—

Refractor

1:2,715

0.037%

Black Refractor

1:54,946

<0.01%

Red Refractor

1:110,742

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

1:523,561

<0.01%

Anime NIL

Insert

N/A

—

Refractor

1:5,090

0.020%

Black Refractor

1:103,413

<0.01%

Red Refractor

1:218,341

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

1:980,393

<0.01%

Bowman GPK NFL

Insert

N/A

—

Refractor

1:4,026

0.025%

Black Refractor

1:93,546

<0.01%

Red Refractor

1:191,571

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

1:869,566

<0.01%

Bowman GPK NIL

Insert

N/A

—

Refractor

1:6,041

0.017%

Black Refractor

1:140,253

<0.01%

Red Refractor

1:302,115

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

1:1,315,790

<0.01%

Bowman Spotlights NFL

Insert

N/A

—

Refractor

1:3,624

0.028%

Red Refractor

1:110,742

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

1:653,595

<0.01%

Bowman Spotlights NIL

Insert

N/A

—

Refractor

1:3,624

0.028%

Red Refractor

1:110,742

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

1:653,595

<0.01%

Bowman Verified

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Geometric

Not Available

—

Orange Geometric

Not Available

—

Black Geometric

Not Available

—

Red Geometric

Not Available

—

Crystallized NFL

Insert

N/A

—

Refractor

1:6,278

0.016%

Gold Crystal Refractor

1:12,574

<0.01%

Orange Crystal Refractor

1:25,189

<0.01%

Red Crystal Refractor

1:128,866

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

1:606,061

<0.01%

Crystallized NIL

Insert

N/A

—

Refractor

1:6,787

0.015%

Gold Crystal Refractor

1:13,573

<0.01%

Orange Crystal Refractor

1:27,383

<0.01%

Red Crystal Refractor

1:140,253

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

1:653,595

<0.01%

Gen Next

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Geometric

Not Available

—

Orange Geometric

Not Available

—

Black Geometric

Not Available

—

Red Geometric

Not Available

—

Greatness Loading

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Geometric

Not Available

—

Orange Geometric

Not Available

—

Black Geometric

Not Available

—

Red Geometric

Not Available

—

Hobby Stars

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Geometric

Not Available

—

Orange Geometric

Not Available

—

Black Geometric

Not Available

—

Red Geometric

Not Available

—

ROY Favorites

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Geometric

Not Available

—

Orange Geometric

Not Available

—

Black Geometric

Not Available

—

Red Geometric

Not Available

—

Rockstar Rookies

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Geometric

Not Available

—

Orange Geometric

Not Available

—

Black Geometric

Not Available

—

Red Geometric

Not Available

—

Talent Tracker

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Geometric

Not Available

—

Orange Geometric

Not Available

—

Black Geometric

Not Available

—

Red Geometric

Not Available

—

Very Important Prospects

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Geometric

Not Available

—

Orange Geometric

Not Available

—

Black Geometric

Not Available

—

Red Geometric

Not Available

—

Young Kings

Insert

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Geometric

Not Available

—

Orange Geometric

Not Available

—

Black Geometric

Not Available

—

Red Geometric

Not Available

—

1955 All American Autograph Variation

Auto

N/A

—

Red, White & Blue

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Base Chrome Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

FireFractor

1:14,964

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Orange Geometric

Not Available

—

Black Geometric

Not Available

—

Red Geometric

Not Available

—

Mojo

1:3,754

0.027%

Blue Mojo

1:3,754

0.027%

Green Mojo

1:2,531

0.040%

Gold Mojo

1:1,570

0.064%

Orange Mojo

1:2,270

0.044%

Black Mojo

1:5,151

0.019%

Red Mojo

1:9,505

0.011%

Rose Gold Mojo

1:52,715

<0.01%

Base Paper NFL Autographs

Auto

162

N/A

—

Green

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Platinum

Not Available

—

Base Chrome Rookie Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

FDI Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Lava Refractor

Not Available

—

FireFractor

1:9,546

0.010%

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Gold Geometric

Not Available

—

Orange Geometric

Not Available

—

Black Geometric

Not Available

—

Red Geometric

Not Available

—

Mojo

1:290

0.345%

Blue Mojo

1:688

0.145%

Green Mojo

1:333

0.300%

Gold Mojo

1:593

0.169%

Orange Mojo

1:1,047

0.096%

Black Mojo

1:2,612

0.038%

Red Mojo

1:5,187

0.019%

Rose Gold Mojo

1:25,754

<0.01%

Base Paper Rookie Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Green

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Platinum

Not Available

—

Chrome Prospect Autographs

Auto

194

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Reptilian Refractor

Not Available

—

FDI Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Lava Refractor

Not Available

—

FireFractor

1:7,828

0.013%

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Gold Geometric

Not Available

—

Orange Geometric

Not Available

—

Black Geometric

Not Available

—

Red Geometric

Not Available

—

Mojo

1:293

0.341%

Blue Mojo

1:433

0.231%

Green Mojo

1:627

0.159%

Gold Mojo

1:487

0.205%

Orange Mojo

1:970

0.103%

Black Mojo

1:2,397

0.042%

Red Mojo

1:4,734

0.021%

Rose Gold Mojo

1:23,693

<0.01%

Paper Prospect Autographs

Auto

193

N/A

—

Green

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Platinum

Not Available

—

Buzz Factor Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Future Script

Auto

N/A

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Opening Statement Signatures

Auto

N/A

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Timeless Touch Signatures

Auto

N/A

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Bowman Dual Cross Sport Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Bowman Dual NFL Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Bowman Dual NIL Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Bowman Triple NFL Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Bowman Triple NIL Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Base Chrome RetroFractor Autograph

Auto

N/A

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Expected Pulls Calculator

Combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category.

Guaranteed

Base Cards

In every pack

5.56%

Variations

Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

15.4%

Inserts

Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

N/A

Autographs

Not available in this box type

N/A

Relics & Patches

Not available in this box type

Note: Percentages represent the combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category. These are statistical averages — actual results vary. Relics and Patch Autos without published odds are not included.

Box Type Comparison

Key pulls side-by-side across all box types.

Card GroupHobbyJumboMega BoxValue BoxFDIBreaker

Base Cards

N/A

Rookie Auto Variation

N/A

Rookie Patch Auto

N/A

Shadow Etch

N/A

Helix

N/A

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