2026 Bowman Football Odds

2026 · Pull rates by box type

2026 Bowman Football

Pull Odds by Card Group

See the odds of pulling each card group in 2026 Bowman Football. Odds vary by box type — select a box below to see exact pull rates for that configuration. Orange rows are odds of 1:10 or better.

Filter by box type

Hobby Jumbo Mega Box Value Box FDI Breaker

Card GroupCategoryCardsOdds% Chance

Chrome NFL Base

Base

100

1:2

50.0%

Base

1:2

50.0%

Speckle Refractor

1:4

25.0%

Mini-Diamond Refractor

Not Available

—

Refractor

1:39

2.56%

Neon Green Refractor

1:49

2.04%

Fuchsia Refractor

1:66

1.52%

Yellow Refractor

1:71

1.41%

Pink Refractor

1:78

1.28%

Aqua Refractor

1:98

1.02%

Blue Refractor

1:130

0.769%

Blue Reptilian Refractor

1:130

0.769%

Blue Shimmer Refractor

1:130

0.769%

Gridiron Refractor

Not Available

—

Steel Metal Refractor

1:195

0.513%

Green Refractor

1:197

0.508%

Green Reptilian Refractor

1:197

0.508%

Green Shimmer Refractor

1:197

0.508%

Purple Refractor

1:260

0.385%

Purple X-Fractor

Not Available

—

Purple Wave Refractor

1:260

0.385%

Gold Refractor

1:389

0.257%

Gold Reptilian Refractor

1:389

0.257%

Gold Shimmer Refractor

1:389

0.257%

Orange Refractor

1:779

0.128%

Orange Reptilian Refractor

1:779

0.128%

Orange Shimmer Refractor

1:779

0.128%

Black Refractor

1:1,944

0.051%

Black X-Fractor

Not Available

—

FDI Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

1:3,908

0.026%

Red Lava Refractor

1:3,908

0.026%

Red Reptilian Refractor

1:3,908

0.026%

Red X-Fractor

Not Available

—

FireFractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

1:18,755

<0.01%

Mojo

Not Available

—

Yellow Mojo

Not Available

—

Blue Mojo

Not Available

—

Aqua Mojo

Not Available

—

Green Mojo

Not Available

—

Purple Mojo

Not Available

—

Gold Mojo

Not Available

—

Orange Mojo

Not Available

—

Black Mojo

Not Available

—

Red Mojo

Not Available

—

Rose Gold Mojo

Not Available

—

Geometric

1:11

9.09%

Orange Geometric

1:11

9.09%

Black Geometric

1:26

3.85%

Red Geometric

1:52

1.92%

Chrome Rookie Base

Base

100

1:2

50.0%

Base

1:2

50.0%

Speckle Refractor

1:4

25.0%

Mini-Diamond Refractor

Not Available

—

Refractor

1:39

2.56%

Neon Green Refractor

1:49

2.04%

Fuchsia Refractor

1:66

1.52%

Yellow Refractor

1:71

1.41%

Pink Refractor

1:78

1.28%

Aqua Refractor

1:98

1.02%

Blue Refractor

1:130

0.769%

Blue Reptilian Refractor

1:130

0.769%

Blue Shimmer Refractor

1:130

0.769%

Gridiron Refractor

Not Available

—

Steel Metal Refractor

1:195

0.513%

Green Refractor

1:197

0.508%

Green Reptilian Refractor

1:197

0.508%

Green Shimmer Refractor

1:197

0.508%

Purple Refractor

1:260

0.385%

Purple X-Fractor

Not Available

—

Purple Wave Refractor

1:260

0.385%

Gold Refractor

1:389

0.257%

Gold Shimmer Refractor

1:389

0.257%

Gold Reptilian Refractor

1:389

0.257%

Orange Refractor

1:779

0.128%

Orange Reptilian Refractor

1:779

0.128%

Orange Shimmer Refractor

1:779

0.128%

Black Refractor

1:1,944

0.051%

Black X-Fractor

Not Available

—

FDI Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

1:3,908

0.026%

Red Reptilian Refractor

1:3,908

0.026%

Red Lava Refractor

1:3,908

0.026%

Red X-Fractor

Not Available

—

FireFractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

1:18,755

<0.01%

Mojo

Not Available

—

Yellow Mojo

Not Available

—

Blue Mojo

Not Available

—

Aqua Mojo

Not Available

—

Green Mojo

Not Available

—

Purple Mojo

Not Available

—

Gold Mojo

Not Available

—

Orange Mojo

Not Available

—

Black Mojo

Not Available

—

Red Mojo

Not Available

—

Rose Gold Mojo

Not Available

—

Geometric

1:11

9.09%

Orange Geometric

1:11

9.09%

Black Geometric

1:26

3.85%

Red Geometric

1:52

1.92%

Chrome Prospects

Base

201

1:2

50.0%

Base

1:2

50.0%

Speckle Refractor

1:5

20.0%

Mini-Diamond Refractor

Not Available

—

Refractor

1:30

3.33%

Neon Green Refractor

1:38

2.63%

Fuchsia Refractor

1:51

1.96%

Yellow Refractor

1:55

1.82%

Pink Refractor

1:61

1.64%

Aqua Refractor

1:76

1.32%

Blue Refractor

1:101

0.990%

Blue Reptilian Refractor

1:101

0.990%

Blue Shimmer Refractor

1:101

0.990%

Gridiron Refractor

Not Available

—

Steel Metal Refractor

1:151

0.662%

Green Refractor

1:153

0.654%

Green Reptilian Refractor

1:153

0.654%

Green Shimmer Refractor

1:153

0.654%

Purple Refractor

1:201

0.498%

Purple X-Fractor

Not Available

—

Purple Wave Refractor

1:201

0.498%

Gold Refractor

1:302

0.331%

Gold Reptilian Refractor

1:302

0.331%

Gold Shimmer Refractor

1:302

0.331%

Orange Refractor

1:603

0.166%

Orange Reptilian Refractor

1:603

0.166%

Orange Shimmer Refractor

1:603

0.166%

Black Refractor

1:1,454

0.069%

Black X-Fractor

Not Available

—

FDI Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

1:3,089

0.032%

Red Reptilian Refractor

1:3,089

0.032%

Red Lava Refractor

1:3,089

0.032%

Red X-Fractor

Not Available

—

FireFractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

1:12,353

<0.01%

Mojo

Not Available

—

Yellow Mojo

Not Available

—

Blue Mojo

Not Available

—

Aqua Mojo

Not Available

—

Green Mojo

Not Available

—

Purple Mojo

Not Available

—

Gold Mojo

Not Available

—

Orange Mojo

Not Available

—

Black Mojo

Not Available

—

Red Mojo

Not Available

—

Rose Gold Mojo

Not Available

—

Geometric

1:11

9.09%

Orange Geometric

1:11

9.09%

Black Geometric

1:26

3.85%

Red Geometric

1:52

1.92%

Base

Base

100

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Yellow

1:71

1.41%

Pink

1:78

1.28%

Aqua

1:98

1.02%

Blue

1:130

0.769%

Green

1:197

0.508%

Purple

1:260

0.385%

Gold

1:389

0.257%

Orange

1:779

0.128%

Black

1:1,944

0.051%

Red

1:3,908

0.026%

Platinum

1:18,755

<0.01%

Base Rookie

Base

100

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Yellow

1:71

1.41%

Pink

1:78

1.28%

Aqua

1:98

1.02%

Blue

1:130

0.769%

Green

1:197

0.508%

Purple

1:260

0.385%

Gold

1:389

0.257%

Orange

1:779

0.128%

Black

1:1,944

0.051%

Red

1:3,908

0.026%

Platinum

1:18,755

<0.01%

Paper Prospects

Base

201

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Yellow

1:55

1.82%

Pink

1:61

1.64%

Aqua

1:76

1.32%

Blue

1:101

0.990%

Green

1:153

0.654%

Purple

1:201

0.498%

Gold

1:302

0.331%

Orange

1:603

0.166%

Black

1:1,454

0.069%

Red

1:3,089

0.032%

Platinum

1:12,353

<0.01%

Rookie Red RC Variation

Variation

30

1:1

100%

Base

1:1

100%

Chrome Etched in Glass NFL

Variation

15

N/A

—

Refractor

1:181

0.552%

Chrome Etched in Glass NIL

Variation

15

N/A

—

Refractor

1:181

0.552%

Chrome Retrofractor

Insert

1

1:1,358

0.074%

Base

1:1,358

0.074%

Gold Refractor

1:5,574

0.018%

Orange Refractor

1:11,390

<0.01%

Black Refractor

1:30,817

<0.01%

Red Refractor

1:74,851

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

1955 All American

Insert

5

N/A

—

Stars

1:3,033

0.033%

Red, White & Blue

1:3,977

0.025%

Gold

1:5,514

0.018%

SuperFractor/1

1:290,698

<0.01%

Anime NFL

Insert

15

N/A

—

Refractor

1:181

0.552%

Black Refractor

1:3,664

0.027%

Red Refractor

1:7,379

0.014%

SuperFractor/1

1:34,929

<0.01%

Anime NIL

Insert

9

N/A

—

Refractor

1:340

0.294%

Black Refractor

1:6,894

0.015%

Red Refractor

1:14,554

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

1:65,488

<0.01%

Bowman GPK NFL

Insert

9

N/A

—

Refractor

1:269

0.372%

Black Refractor

1:6,238

0.016%

Red Refractor

1:12,778

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

1:58,208

<0.01%

Bowman GPK NIL

Insert

7

N/A

—

Refractor

1:403

0.248%

Black Refractor

1:9,356

0.011%

Red Refractor

1:20,150

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

1:87,337

<0.01%

Bowman Spotlights NFL

Insert

15

N/A

—

Refractor

1:242

0.413%

Red Refractor

1:7,379

0.014%

SuperFractor/1

1:43,669

<0.01%

Bowman Spotlights NIL

Insert

15

N/A

—

Refractor

1:242

0.413%

Red Refractor

1:7,379

0.014%

SuperFractor/1

1:43,669

<0.01%

Bowman Verified

Insert

25

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Geometric

1:12

8.33%

Orange Geometric

1:42

2.38%

Black Geometric

1:104

0.962%

Red Geometric

1:208

0.481%

Crystallized NFL

Insert

13

N/A

—

Refractor

1:419

0.239%

Gold Crystal Refractor

1:839

0.119%

Orange Crystal Refractor

1:1,680

0.060%

Red Crystal Refractor

1:8,589

0.012%

SuperFractor/1

1:40,307

<0.01%

Crystallized NIL

Insert

12

N/A

—

Refractor

1:453

0.221%

Gold Crystal Refractor

1:905

0.110%

Orange Crystal Refractor

1:1,826

0.055%

Red Crystal Refractor

1:9,356

0.011%

SuperFractor/1

1:43,669

<0.01%

Gen Next

Insert

25

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Geometric

1:12

8.33%

Orange Geometric

1:42

2.38%

Black Geometric

1:104

0.962%

Red Geometric

1:208

0.481%

Greatness Loading

Insert

20

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Geometric

1:15

6.67%

Orange Geometric

1:52

1.92%

Black Geometric

1:128

0.781%

Red Geometric

1:263

0.380%

Hobby Stars

Insert

15

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Geometric

1:20

5.00%

Orange Geometric

1:69

1.45%

Black Geometric

1:173

0.578%

Red Geometric

1:348

0.287%

Mega Prospects

Insert

25

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Blue Mojo

Not Available

—

Green Mojo

Not Available

—

Purple Mojo

Not Available

—

Gold Mojo

Not Available

—

Orange Mojo

Not Available

—

Black Mojo

Not Available

—

Red Mojo

Not Available

—

Rose Gold Mojo

Not Available

—

Mega Rookies

Insert

25

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Blue Mojo

Not Available

—

Green Mojo

Not Available

—

Purple Mojo

Not Available

—

Gold Mojo

Not Available

—

Orange Mojo

Not Available

—

Black Mojo

Not Available

—

Red Mojo

Not Available

—

Rose Gold Mojo

Not Available

—

ROY Favorites

Insert

20

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Geometric

1:15

6.67%

Orange Geometric

1:52

1.92%

Black Geometric

1:128

0.781%

Red Geometric

1:263

0.380%

Rockstar Rookies

Insert

20

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Geometric

1:15

6.67%

Orange Geometric

1:52

1.92%

Black Geometric

1:128

0.781%

Red Geometric

1:263

0.380%

Talent Tracker

Insert

25

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Geometric

1:12

8.33%

Orange Geometric

1:42

2.38%

Black Geometric

1:104

0.962%

Red Geometric

1:208

0.481%

Very Important Prospects

Insert

25

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Geometric

1:12

8.33%

Orange Geometric

1:42

2.38%

Black Geometric

1:104

0.962%

Red Geometric

1:208

0.481%

Young Kings

Insert

25

N/A

—

Base

Not Available

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Purple Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

Not Available

—

Geometric

1:12

8.33%

Orange Geometric

1:42

2.38%

Black Geometric

1:104

0.962%

Red Geometric

1:208

0.481%

Base Chrome Rookie Autographs

Auto

97

1:3

33.3%

Base

1:3

33.3%

Refractor

1:6

16.7%

Blue Refractor

1:20

5.00%

Green Refractor

1:30

3.33%

Green Reptilian Refractor

1:29

3.45%

Purple Refractor

1:38

2.63%

Gold Refractor

1:58

1.72%

Orange Refractor

1:106

0.943%

Orange Reptilian Refractor

1:106

0.943%

FDI Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

1:263

0.380%

Red Refractor

1:526

0.190%

Red Lava Refractor

1:526

0.190%

FireFractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

1:2,745

0.036%

Gold Geometric

1:7

14.3%

Orange Geometric

1:13

7.69%

Black Geometric

1:33

3.03%

Red Geometric

1:64

1.56%

Mojo

Not Available

—

Blue Mojo

Not Available

—

Green Mojo

Not Available

—

Gold Mojo

Not Available

—

Orange Mojo

Not Available

—

Black Mojo

Not Available

—

Red Mojo

Not Available

—

Rose Gold Mojo

Not Available

—

Chrome Prospect Autographs

Auto

194

1:7

14.3%

Base

1:7

14.3%

Refractor

1:7

14.3%

Blue Refractor

1:21

4.76%

Green Refractor

1:31

3.23%

Green Reptilian Refractor

1:31

3.23%

Purple Refractor

1:40

2.50%

Gold Refractor

1:60

1.67%

Orange Refractor

1:119

0.840%

Orange Reptilian Refractor

1:120

0.833%

FDI Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

1:297

0.337%

Red Refractor

1:593

0.169%

Red Lava Refractor

1:586

0.171%

FireFractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

1:2,891

0.035%

Gold Geometric

1:6

16.7%

Orange Geometric

1:11

9.09%

Black Geometric

1:27

3.70%

Red Geometric

1:53

1.89%

Mojo

Not Available

—

Blue Mojo

Not Available

—

Green Mojo

Not Available

—

Gold Mojo

Not Available

—

Orange Mojo

Not Available

—

Black Mojo

Not Available

—

Red Mojo

Not Available

—

Rose Gold Mojo

Not Available

—

Base Chrome Autographs

Auto

69

1:40

2.50%

Base

1:40

2.50%

Blue Refractor

1:45

2.22%

Green Refractor

1:65

1.54%

Purple Refractor

1:79

1.27%

Gold Refractor

1:100

1.00%

Orange Refractor

1:169

0.592%

Black Refractor

1:380

0.263%

Red Refractor

1:749

0.134%

FireFractor

Not Available

—

SuperFractor/1

1:3,528

0.028%

Orange Geometric

1:23

4.35%

Black Geometric

1:50

2.00%

Red Geometric

1:101

0.990%

Mojo

Not Available

—

Blue Mojo

Not Available

—

Green Mojo

Not Available

—

Gold Mojo

Not Available

—

Orange Mojo

Not Available

—

Black Mojo

Not Available

—

Red Mojo

Not Available

—

Rose Gold Mojo

Not Available

—

1955 All American Autograph Variation

Auto

5

N/A

—

Red, White & Blue

1:3,491

0.029%

Gold

1:7,899

0.013%

SuperFractor/1

1:30,013

<0.01%

Base Paper NFL Autographs

Auto

162

N/A

—

Green

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Platinum

Not Available

—

Base Paper Rookie Autographs

Auto

95

N/A

—

Green

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Platinum

Not Available

—

Paper Prospect Autographs

Auto

193

N/A

—

Green

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Platinum

Not Available

—

Buzz Factor Autographs

Auto

21

N/A

—

Refractor

1:93

1.08%

Gold Refractor

1:278

0.360%

Orange Refractor

1:537

0.186%

Black Refractor

1:1,373

0.073%

Red Refractor

1:2,745

0.036%

SuperFractor/1

1:12,349

<0.01%

Future Script

Auto

18

N/A

—

Refractor

1:106

0.943%

Gold Refractor

1:321

0.312%

Orange Refractor

1:634

0.158%

Black Refractor

1:1,544

0.065%

Red Refractor

1:3,087

0.032%

SuperFractor/1

1:12,349

<0.01%

Opening Statement Signatures

Auto

22

N/A

—

Refractor

1:81

1.23%

Gold Refractor

1:229

0.437%

Orange Refractor

1:458

0.218%

Black Refractor

1:1,177

0.085%

Red Refractor

1:2,470

0.040%

SuperFractor/1

1:12,349

<0.01%

Timeless Touch Signatures

Auto

18

N/A

—

Refractor

1:120

0.833%

Gold Refractor

1:369

0.271%

Orange Refractor

1:634

0.158%

Black Refractor

1:1,373

0.073%

Red Refractor

1:3,087

0.032%

SuperFractor/1

1:24,698

<0.01%

Bowman Dual Cross Sport Autographs

Auto

3

N/A

—

Refractor

1:2,088

0.048%

Red Refractor

1:12,507

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

1:50,026

<0.01%

Bowman Dual NFL Autographs

Auto

2

N/A

—

Refractor

1:3,634

0.028%

Red Refractor

1:24,403

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

1:84,460

<0.01%

Bowman Dual NIL Autographs

Auto

3

N/A

—

Refractor

1:3,411

0.029%

Red Refractor

1:16,676

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

1:49,408

<0.01%

Bowman Triple NFL Autographs

Auto

2

N/A

—

Refractor

1:10,048

<0.01%

Red Refractor

1:24,403

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

1:84,460

<0.01%

Bowman Triple NIL Autographs

Auto

3

N/A

—

Refractor

1:5,559

0.018%

Red Refractor

1:12,507

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

1:49,408

<0.01%

Base Chrome RetroFractor Autograph

Auto

0

N/A

—

Gold Refractor

1:5,574

0.018%

Orange Refractor

1:11,390

<0.01%

Black Refractor

1:56,521

<0.01%

Red Refractor

1:74,851

<0.01%

SuperFractor/1

1:282,605

<0.01%

Expected Pulls Calculator

Combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category.

Guaranteed

Base Cards

In every pack

Guaranteed

Variations

In every pack

0.074%

Inserts

Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

50.1%

Autographs

Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

N/A

Relics & Patches

Not available in this box type

Note: Percentages represent the combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category. These are statistical averages — actual results vary. Relics and Patch Autos without published odds are not included.

Box Type Comparison

Key pulls side-by-side across all box types.

Card GroupHobbyJumboMega BoxValue BoxFDIBreaker

Base Cards

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Rookie Auto Variation

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Rookie Patch Auto

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Shadow Etch

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Helix

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Want to simulate a full break?

Try the Break Calculator to simulate opening multiple boxes and see expected hits.

Try the Break Calculator →