2026 Bowman Baseball Odds

2026 · Pull rates by box type

Pull Odds by Card Group

See the odds of pulling each card group in 2026 Bowman Baseball. Odds vary by box type — select a box below to see exact pull rates for that configuration. Orange rows are odds of 1:10 or better.

Filter by box type

Hobby HTA Jumbo Mega Box Value Box

Card GroupCategoryCardsOdds% Chance

Base Cards

Base

100

N/A

—

Sky Blue

1:77

1.30%

Neon Green

1:97

1.03%

Fuchsia

1:129

0.775%

Purple

1:155

0.645%

Purple Pattern

1:155

0.645%

Pink

1:221

0.452%

Blue

1:257

0.389%

Blue Pattern

1:257

0.389%

Green

Not Available

—

Green Pattern

Not Available

—

Yellow

1:514

0.195%

Yellow Pattern

1:514

0.195%

Gold

1:771

0.130%

Orange

Not Available

—

Black

Not Available

—

Black Pattern

Not Available

—

Red

1:7,711

0.013%

Platinum Border Rainbow Foil

1:38,552

<0.01%

Printing Plates

1:9,638

0.010%

Gold Pattern

1:771

0.130%

Orange Pattern

Not Available

—

Bowman Logo Pattern

1:489

0.204%

Base Rookie Red RC Variation

Variation

1:5

20.0%

Chrome Prospect Packfractor Variation

Variation

1:571

0.175%

Etched in Glass Variation (Base)

Variation

1:971

0.103%

Etched in Glass Variation (Chrome Prospects)

Variation

1:971

0.103%

Anime Kanji Variation

Variation

1:91,560

<0.01%

Paper Prospects

Insert

150

1:1

100%

Sky Blue

1:52

1.92%

Neon Green

1:65

1.54%

Fuchsia

1:86

1.16%

Purple

1:103

0.971%

Purple Pattern

1:104

0.962%

Pink

1:147

0.680%

Blue

1:172

0.581%

Blue Pattern

1:172

0.581%

Green

Not Available

—

Green Pattern

Not Available

—

Yellow

1:343

0.292%

Yellow Pattern

1:343

0.292%

Gold

1:515

0.194%

Orange

Not Available

—

Black

Not Available

—

Black Pattern

Not Available

—

Red

1:5,195

0.019%

Platinum Border Rainbow Foil

1:27,129

<0.01%

Printing Plates

1:6,426

0.016%

Gold Pattern

1:515

0.194%

Orange Pattern

Not Available

—

Bowman Logo Pattern

1:367

0.272%

Chrome Prospects

Insert

150

1:1

100%

League Logofractor

Not Available

—

Mini Diamond

Not Available

—

Lazer Refractor

Not Available

—

X-Fractor

Not Available

—

Gum Ball Refractor

Not Available

—

Sunflower Seeds Refractor

Not Available

—

Peanuts Refractor

Not Available

—

Pop Corn Refractor

Not Available

—

Reptilian Refractor

1:13

7.69%

Refractor

1:60

1.67%

Lava

1:75

1.33%

Wave

Not Available

—

Speckle

1:100

1.00%

Purple Refractor

1:119

0.840%

Purple Raywave

1:119

0.840%

Fuschia Wave Refractor

1:49

2.04%

Fuschia Refractor

1:150

0.667%

Reptilian Fuschia Refractor

1:150

0.667%

Blue Refractor

1:199

0.503%

Blue Shimmer

1:199

0.503%

Blue Raywave

Not Available

—

Reptilian Blue Refractor

1:199

0.503%

Aqua X-Fractor

1:78

1.28%

Aqua Shimmer

1:78

1.28%

Steel Metal

1:298

0.336%

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Grass

1:301

0.332%

Green Shimmer

Not Available

—

Reptilian Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Yellow Refractor

1:398

0.251%

Yellow X-Fractor

1:311

0.322%

Yellow Wave

1:130

0.769%

Gold Refractor

1:596

0.168%

Gold Shimmer

1:596

0.168%

Reptilian Gold Refractor

1:596

0.168%

Bowman Logofractor

1:851

0.118%

Orange

Not Available

—

Orange Shimmer

Not Available

—

Reptilian Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

1:2,978

0.034%

Black X-Fractor Refractor

1:2,978

0.034%

Rose Gold

1:1,986

0.050%

Rose Gold X-Fractor

1:1,986

0.050%

Red Refractor

1:5,956

0.017%

Red Lava

1:5,956

0.017%

Reptilian Red Refractor

1:5,956

0.017%

Firefractor

Not Available

—

Superfractor

1:12,208

<0.01%

Printing Plates

1:7,513

0.013%

Bowman Scouts Top 100

Insert

100

1:1

100%

Mini-Diamond Refractor

1:298

0.336%

Aqua Refractor

1:358

0.279%

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

1:894

0.112%

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

1:8,933

0.011%

Superfractor

1:45,780

<0.01%

Electric Sluggers

Insert

1:2

50.0%

Mini-Diamond Refractor

1:1,192

0.084%

Aqua Refractor

1:1,428

0.070%

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

1:3,574

0.028%

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

1:34,880

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:183,120

<0.01%

Bowman Sterling

Insert

1:3

33.3%

Mini-Diamond Refractor

1:1,986

0.050%

Aqua Refractor

1:2,379

0.042%

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

1:5,956

0.017%

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

1:61,040

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:244,160

<0.01%

Under the Radar

Insert

1:3

33.3%

Mini-Diamond Refractor

1:1,489

0.067%

Aqua Refractor

1:1,787

0.056%

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

1:4,467

0.022%

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

1:45,780

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:244,160

<0.01%

Power Chords

Insert

1:3

33.3%

Mini-Diamond Refractor

1:1,192

0.084%

Aqua Refractor

1:1,428

0.070%

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

1:3,574

0.028%

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

1:34,880

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:183,120

<0.01%

Anime

Insert

1:666

0.150%

Black Refractor

1:9,156

0.011%

Red Refractor

1:18,312

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:91,560

<0.01%

Patchwork

Insert

1:744

0.134%

Red Refractor

1:30,520

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:146,496

<0.01%

Final Draft

Insert

1:1,117

0.090%

Red Refractor

1:24,416

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:146,496

<0.01%

Black Refractor

1:13,318

<0.01%

Bowman Spotlights

Insert

1:1,986

0.050%

Red Refractor

1:61,040

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:244,160

<0.01%

Crystallized

Insert

1:2,234

0.045%

Gold Refractor

1:4,467

0.022%

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

1:45,780

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:244,160

<0.01%

Chrome Prospects Autographs

Auto

1:8

12.5%

Refractor

1:50

2.00%

Speckle Refractor

1:61

1.64%

Purple Refractor

1:71

1.41%

Blue Refractor

1:119

0.840%

Blue X-Fractor Refractor

1:122

0.820%

Aqua Refractor

1:144

0.694%

Mini-Diamond Refractor

1:177

0.565%

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Grass Refractor

1:230

0.435%

Reptilian Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Shimmer Refractor

Not Available

—

Yellow Refractor

1:308

0.325%

Yellow X-Fractor

1:304

0.329%

Gold Refractor

1:360

0.278%

Gold Shimmer Refractor

1:351

0.285%

Bowman Logofractor

1:512

0.195%

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Orange X-Fractor

Not Available

—

Orange Shimmer Refractor

Not Available

—

Black Refractor

1:1,709

0.059%

Black X-Fractor

1:1,711

0.058%

Gum Ball Refractor

Not Available

—

Sunflower Seeds Refractor

Not Available

—

Peanuts Refractor

Not Available

—

Pop Corn Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

1:3,444

0.029%

Red Lava Refractor

1:3,436

0.029%

Firefractor

Not Available

—

Superfractor

1:17,035

<0.01%

Printing Plates

1:4,311

0.023%

Black & White Shimmer Refractor

1:1,544

0.065%

Chrome Rookie Autographs

Auto

1:288

0.347%

Refractor

1:272

0.368%

Blue Refractor

1:799

0.125%

Mini-Diamond Refractor

1:1,193

0.084%

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Yellow Refractor

1:2,099

0.048%

Gold Refractor

1:2,450

0.041%

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

1:22,890

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:104,640

<0.01%

Printing Plates

1:28,173

<0.01%

Chrome Prospect Packfractor Autograph Variation

Auto

1:590

0.169%

Under the Radar Autograph Parallel

Auto

1:1,253

0.080%

Gold Refractor

1:2,483

0.040%

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

1:22,890

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:104,640

<0.01%

Bowman Sterling Autograph Parallel

Auto

1:1,650

0.061%

Gold Refractor

1:3,300

0.030%

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

1:29,300

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:146,496

<0.01%

Electric Sluggers Autograph Parallel

Auto

1:2,142

0.047%

Gold Refractor

1:2,483

0.040%

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

1:20,928

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:104,640

<0.01%

Power Chords Autograph Parallel

Auto

1:2,500

0.040%

Gold Refractor

1:2,124

0.047%

Orange Refractor

Not Available

—

Red Refractor

1:19,797

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:81,387

<0.01%

Chrome Prospects Autographs Gold Ink Variation

Auto

1:2,840

0.035%

All America Game Autographs

Auto

1:7,325

0.014%

Red Ink

1:183,120

<0.01%

Draft Pick Pairings Autographs

Auto

1:20,928

<0.01%

Red Refractor

1:48,832

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:366,240

<0.01%

Ultimate Autograph Book Card

Auto

1:146,496

<0.01%

Paper Prospect Retail Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Purple

Not Available

—

Blue

Not Available

—

Green

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Platinum

Not Available

—

Paper Rookies and Veterans Retail Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Purple

Not Available

—

Blue

Not Available

—

Green

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Platinum

Not Available

—

Expected Pulls Calculator

Combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category.

N/A

Base Cards

Not available in this box type

20.4%

Variations

Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

Guaranteed

Inserts

In every pack

13.3%

Autographs

Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

N/A

Relics & Patches

Not available in this box type

Note: Percentages represent the combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category. These are statistical averages — actual results vary. Relics and Patch Autos without published odds are not included.

Box Type Comparison

Key pulls side-by-side across all box types.

Card GroupHobbyHTA JumboMega BoxValue Box

Base Cards100 cards

Not Available

Rookie Auto Variation

N/A

Rookie Patch Auto

N/A

Shadow Etch

N/A

Helix

N/A

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