2026 Bowman Baseball Odds

2026 · Pull rates by box type

Pull Odds by Card Group

See the odds of pulling each card group in 2026 Bowman Baseball. Odds vary by box type — select a box below to see exact pull rates for that configuration. Orange rows are odds of 1:10 or better.

Filter by box type

Hobby HTA Jumbo Mega Box Value Box

Card GroupCategoryCardsOdds% Chance

Base Cards

Base

100

N/A

—

Sky Blue

1:268

0.373%

Neon Green

1:335

0.299%

Fuchsia

1:449

0.223%

Purple

1:536

0.187%

Purple Pattern

1:536

0.187%

Pink

1:766

0.131%

Blue

1:894

0.112%

Blue Pattern

1:894

0.112%

Green

Not Available

—

Green Pattern

Not Available

—

Yellow

1:1,787

0.056%

Yellow Pattern

1:1,787

0.056%

Gold

1:2,680

0.037%

Orange

1:965

0.104%

Black

1:2,411

0.041%

Black Pattern

1:2,411

0.041%

Red

1:26,762

<0.01%

Platinum Border Rainbow Foil

1:136,956

<0.01%

Printing Plates

1:33,743

<0.01%

Gold Pattern

1:2,680

0.037%

Orange Pattern

1:965

0.104%

Bowman Logo Pattern

1:1,165

0.086%

Base Rookie Red RC Variation

Variation

1:14

7.14%

Chrome Prospect Packfractor Variation

Variation

1:1,711

0.058%

Etched in Glass Variation (Base)

Variation

1:2,914

0.034%

Etched in Glass Variation (Chrome Prospects)

Variation

1:2,914

0.034%

Anime Kanji Variation

Variation

1:232,824

<0.01%

Paper Prospects

Insert

150

1:1

100%

Sky Blue

1:178

0.562%

Neon Green

1:223

0.448%

Fuchsia

1:298

0.336%

Purple

1:357

0.280%

Purple Pattern

1:360

0.278%

Pink

1:511

0.196%

Blue

1:596

0.168%

Blue Pattern

1:596

0.168%

Green

Not Available

—

Green Pattern

Not Available

—

Yellow

1:1,192

0.084%

Yellow Pattern

1:1,192

0.084%

Gold

1:1,789

0.056%

Orange

1:643

0.156%

Black

1:1,607

0.062%

Black Pattern

1:1,607

0.062%

Red

1:18,049

<0.01%

Platinum Border Rainbow Foil

1:91,304

<0.01%

Printing Plates

1:22,496

<0.01%

Gold Pattern

1:1,789

0.056%

Orange Pattern

1:643

0.156%

Bowman Logo Pattern

1:699

0.143%

Chrome Prospects

Insert

150

1:1

100%

League Logofractor

1:241

0.415%

Mini Diamond

1:20

5.00%

Lazer Refractor

Not Available

—

X-Fractor

1:20

5.00%

Gum Ball Refractor

1:1,455

0.069%

Sunflower Seeds Refractor

1:1,454

0.069%

Peanuts Refractor

1:1,540

0.065%

Pop Corn Refractor

1:1,540

0.065%

Reptilian Refractor

1:10

10.0%

Refractor

1:178

0.562%

Lava

1:223

0.448%

Wave

1:46

2.17%

Speckle

1:298

0.336%

Purple Refractor

1:357

0.280%

Purple Raywave

1:357

0.280%

Fuschia Wave Refractor

1:172

0.581%

Fuschia Refractor

1:449

0.223%

Reptilian Fuschia Refractor

1:449

0.223%

Blue Refractor

1:596

0.168%

Blue Shimmer

1:596

0.168%

Blue Raywave

1:108

0.926%

Reptilian Blue Refractor

1:596

0.168%

Aqua X-Fractor

1:273

0.366%

Aqua Shimmer

1:273

0.366%

Steel Metal

1:894

0.112%

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Grass

1:903

0.111%

Green Shimmer

Not Available

—

Reptilian Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Yellow Refractor

1:1,192

0.084%

Yellow X-Fractor

1:277

0.361%

Yellow Wave

1:455

0.220%

Gold Refractor

1:1,789

0.056%

Gold Shimmer

1:1,789

0.056%

Reptilian Gold Refractor

1:1,789

0.056%

Bowman Logofractor

1:2,553

0.039%

Orange

1:643

0.156%

Orange Shimmer

1:643

0.156%

Reptilian Orange Refractor

1:643

0.156%

Black Refractor

1:8,973

0.011%

Black X-Fractor Refractor

1:8,973

0.011%

Rose Gold

1:5,970

0.017%

Rose Gold X-Fractor

1:5,970

0.017%

Red Refractor

1:18,049

<0.01%

Red Lava

1:18,049

<0.01%

Reptilian Red Refractor

1:18,049

<0.01%

Firefractor

Not Available

—

Superfractor

1:33,743

<0.01%

Printing Plates

1:22,496

<0.01%

Bowman Scouts Top 100

Insert

100

1:3

33.3%

Mini-Diamond Refractor

1:894

0.112%

Aqua Refractor

1:1,072

0.093%

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

1:2,680

0.037%

Orange Refractor

1:965

0.104%

Red Refractor

1:26,762

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:136,956

<0.01%

Bowman Sterling

Insert

1:6

16.7%

Mini-Diamond Refractor

1:5,955

0.017%

Aqua Refractor

1:7,142

0.014%

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

1:17,910

<0.01%

Orange Refractor

1:6,397

0.016%

Red Refractor

1:179,096

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:776,080

<0.01%

Electric Sluggers

Insert

1:6

16.7%

Mini-Diamond Refractor

1:3,577

0.028%

Aqua Refractor

1:4,288

0.023%

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

1:10,730

<0.01%

Orange Refractor

1:3,855

0.026%

Red Refractor

1:105,830

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:582,060

<0.01%

Under the Radar

Insert

1:6

16.7%

Mini-Diamond Refractor

1:4,469

0.022%

Aqua Refractor

1:5,365

0.019%

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

1:13,381

<0.01%

Orange Refractor

1:4,811

0.021%

Red Refractor

1:136,956

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:582,060

<0.01%

Power Chords

Insert

1:10

10.0%

Mini-Diamond Refractor

1:3,577

0.028%

Aqua Refractor

1:4,288

0.023%

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor

1:10,730

<0.01%

Orange Refractor

1:3,855

0.026%

Red Refractor

1:105,830

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:582,060

<0.01%

Anime

Insert

1:1,664

0.060%

Black Refractor

1:25,870

<0.01%

Red Refractor

1:46,565

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:211,659

<0.01%

Patchwork

Insert

1:2,233

0.045%

Red Refractor

1:89,548

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:465,648

<0.01%

Final Draft

Insert

1:3,350

0.030%

Red Refractor

1:77,608

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:465,648

<0.01%

Black Refractor

1:42,332

<0.01%

Bowman Spotlights

Insert

1:5,955

0.017%

Red Refractor

1:179,096

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:776,080

<0.01%

Crystallized

Insert

1:6,691

0.015%

Gold Refractor

1:13,381

<0.01%

Orange Refractor

1:4,811

0.021%

Red Refractor

1:136,956

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:582,060

<0.01%

Chrome Prospects Autographs

Auto

1:56

1.79%

Refractor

1:200

0.500%

Speckle Refractor

1:245

0.408%

Purple Refractor

1:282

0.355%

Blue Refractor

1:477

0.210%

Blue X-Fractor Refractor

1:489

0.204%

Aqua Refractor

1:577

0.173%

Mini-Diamond Refractor

1:711

0.141%

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Grass Refractor

1:1,149

0.087%

Reptilian Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Shimmer Refractor

Not Available

—

Yellow Refractor

1:1,536

0.065%

Yellow X-Fractor

1:1,519

0.066%

Gold Refractor

1:1,444

0.069%

Gold Shimmer Refractor

1:1,410

0.071%

Bowman Logofractor

1:2,052

0.049%

Orange Refractor

1:1,090

0.092%

Orange X-Fractor

1:1,098

0.091%

Orange Shimmer Refractor

1:1,092

0.092%

Black Refractor

1:6,875

0.015%

Black X-Fractor

1:6,883

0.015%

Gum Ball Refractor

1:5,453

0.018%

Sunflower Seeds Refractor

1:5,454

0.018%

Peanuts Refractor

1:5,466

0.018%

Pop Corn Refractor

1:5,479

0.018%

Red Refractor

1:13,903

<0.01%

Red Lava Refractor

1:13,898

<0.01%

Firefractor

Not Available

—

Superfractor

1:65,916

<0.01%

Printing Plates

1:17,282

<0.01%

Black & White Shimmer Refractor

1:6,195

0.016%

Chrome Rookie Autographs

Auto

1:1,439

0.069%

Refractor

1:1,090

0.092%

Blue Refractor

1:3,207

0.031%

Mini-Diamond Refractor

1:4,791

0.021%

Green Refractor

Not Available

—

Yellow Refractor

1:10,488

<0.01%

Gold Refractor

1:9,866

0.010%

Orange Refractor

1:7,254

0.014%

Red Refractor

1:89,548

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:465,648

<0.01%

Printing Plates

1:116,412

<0.01%

Chrome Prospect Packfractor Autograph Variation

Auto

1:2,948

0.034%

Under the Radar Autograph Parallel

Auto

1:5,029

0.020%

Gold Refractor

1:9,950

0.010%

Orange Refractor

1:7,231

0.014%

Red Refractor

1:89,548

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:465,648

<0.01%

Bowman Sterling Autograph Parallel

Auto

1:6,634

0.015%

Gold Refractor

1:13,229

<0.01%

Orange Refractor

1:10,441

<0.01%

Red Refractor

1:116,412

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:582,060

<0.01%

Electric Sluggers Autograph Parallel

Auto

1:8,624

0.012%

Gold Refractor

1:9,950

0.010%

Orange Refractor

1:7,231

0.014%

Red Refractor

1:83,152

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:388,040

<0.01%

Power Chords Autograph Parallel

Auto

1:10,036

<0.01%

Gold Refractor

1:8,529

0.012%

Orange Refractor

1:6,710

0.015%

Red Refractor

1:77,608

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:388,040

<0.01%

Draft Pick Pairings Autographs

Auto

1:13,459

<0.01%

Red Refractor

1:59,699

<0.01%

Superfractor

1:465,648

<0.01%

Chrome Prospects Autographs Gold Ink Variation

Auto

1:14,197

<0.01%

All America Game Autographs

Auto

1:29,472

<0.01%

Red Ink

1:582,060

<0.01%

Ultimate Autograph Book Card

Auto

1:582,060

<0.01%

Paper Prospect Retail Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Purple

Not Available

—

Blue

Not Available

—

Green

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Platinum

Not Available

—

Paper Rookies and Veterans Retail Autographs

Auto

N/A

—

Purple

Not Available

—

Blue

Not Available

—

Green

Not Available

—

Gold

Not Available

—

Orange

Not Available

—

Red

Not Available

—

Platinum

Not Available

—

Expected Pulls Calculator

Combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category.

N/A

Base Cards

Not available in this box type

7.27%

Variations

Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

Guaranteed

Inserts

In every pack

1.96%

Autographs

Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

N/A

Relics & Patches

Not available in this box type

Note: Percentages represent the combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category. These are statistical averages — actual results vary. Relics and Patch Autos without published odds are not included.

Box Type Comparison

Key pulls side-by-side across all box types.

Card GroupHobbyHTA JumboMega BoxValue Box

Base Cards100 cards

Not Available

Rookie Auto Variation

N/A

Rookie Patch Auto

N/A

Shadow Etch

N/A

Helix

N/A

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