Box Analysis

2025 Topps Chrome Football · 2025

Odds Table

All card groups sorted by category and odds. Orange rows are odds of 1:10 or better.

Mega Box
Card GroupCategoryCardsOdds% Chance
Base Cards
Base
300
1:1
100%
Rookies
Base
100
1:1
100%
Base Cards Lightboard Logo Variation
Variation
300
1:181
0.552%
Rookies Lightboard Logo Variation
Variation
100
1:542
0.185%
Base Cards Image Variation
Variation
30
1:818
0.122%
Rookies Image Variation
Variation
20
1:1,226
0.082%
Base Cards Team Camo Variation
Variation
300
N/A
Rookies Team Camo Variation
Variation
96
N/A
Chrome Base Etch Variation
Variation
50
N/A
Chrome Rookies Etch Variation
Variation
50
N/A
Power Players
Insert
40
1:11
9.09%
Legends of the Gridiron
Insert
40
1:11
9.09%
1975 Topps
Insert
35
1:13
7.69%
Fortune 15
Insert
35
1:13
7.69%
Future Stars
Insert
25
1:18
5.56%
All Chrome Team
Insert
25
1:18
5.56%
Urban Legends
Insert
30
1:952
0.105%
Fanatical
Insert
30
1:952
0.105%
Ultra Violet
Insert
20
1:1,428
0.070%
Lightning Leaders
Insert
20
1:1,428
0.070%
Helix
Insert
30
1:10,005
<0.01%
Let's Go!
Insert
5
1:111,650
<0.01%
Chrome Radiating Rookies
Insert
20
N/A
Shadow Etch
Insert
30
N/A
Game Genies
Insert
25
N/A
Kaiju
Insert
10
N/A
Tecmo
Insert
23
N/A
Rookies Autograph Variation
Auto
94
1:433
0.231%
Rookie Autographs Variation
Auto
38
1:5,247
0.019%
Base Cards Autograph Variation
Auto
71
1:32,839
<0.01%
1990 Topps Football Autographs
Auto
35
N/A
Dual Autographs
Auto
13
N/A
Future Stars Autographs
Auto
27
N/A
Chromographs
Auto
25
N/A
Chrome Legends Autographs
Auto
32
N/A
Hall of Chrome Autographs
Auto
29
N/A
Tecmo Autographs
Auto
19
N/A
Topps Chrome Rookie Relics
Relic
38
N/A
First Year Fabric
Relic
19
N/A
NFL Honors Gold Shield Relics
Relic
5
N/A
Topps Chrome Rookie Patch Autographs
Auto Relic
38
N/A
Rookie Premiere Patch Autographs
Auto Relic
98
N/A
NFL Honors Gold Shield Autographs
Auto Relic
5
N/A

Expected Pulls Calculator

Combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category.

Guaranteed
Base Cards
In every pack
0.941%
Variations
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
45.0%
Inserts
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
0.253%
Autographs
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
N/A
Relics & Patches
Not available in this box type

Note: Percentages represent the combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category. These are statistical averages — actual results vary. Relics and Patch Autos without published odds are not included.

Box Type Comparison

Key pulls side-by-side across all box types.

Card GroupHobbyHTA JumboMega BoxHangerValue Box
Base Cards300 cards
1:1
100%
1:1
100%
1:1
100%
Not Available
Not Available
Rookie Auto Variation94 cards
1:109
0.917%
1:153
0.654%
1:433
0.231%
Not Available
Not Available
Rookie Patch Auto38 cards
Not Available
Not Available
Not Available
Not Available
Not Available
Shadow Etch30 cards
1:387
0.258%
1:155
0.645%
Not Available
Not Available
Not Available
Helix30 cards
1:2,559
0.039%
1:881
0.114%
1:10,005
<0.01%
Not Available
Not Available
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