Box Analysis
2026 Topps Series 1 Baseball · 2026
Odds Table
All card groups sorted by category and odds. Orange rows are odds of 1:10 or better.
Card GroupCategoryCardsOdds% Chance
Major League Material Autograph Cards
AUTOGRAPH RELIC
85
1:2692
0.037%
Heavy Lumber Autograph Relics
AUTOGRAPH RELIC
59
1:8058
0.012%
City Connect Swatch Collection Autograph Relic
AUTOGRAPH RELIC
16
1:10834
<0.01%
Topps Flagship Autograph Patch Cards
AUTOGRAPH RELIC
17
1:12437
<0.01%
Major League Material Dual Autograph Cards
AUTOGRAPH RELIC
5
1:148754
<0.01%
1991 Topps Baseball Chrome Autograph Parallel
AUTOGRAPH RELIC
84
N/A
—
Mascots Autograph Parallel
AUTOGRAPH RELIC
14
N/A
—
Mascots Dynasty Autograph Patch
AUTOGRAPH RELIC
7
N/A
—
Mascots Dynasty MLB Logo Autograph Patch
AUTOGRAPH RELIC
6
N/A
—
Mascots Dynasty Dual Autograph Patch
AUTOGRAPH RELIC
4
N/A
—
Base Cards
Base
350
1:1
100%
Team Color Border Variation
Variation
99
1:229
0.437%
Golden Mirror Base Image Variations
Variation
350
1:1141
0.088%
Base Card Player Number Variation
Variation
99
1:2003
0.050%
True Photo Variation
Variation
99
1:3460
0.029%
Vintage Stock Variation
Variation
99
1:3497
0.029%
Base Card Clear Variation
Variation
99
1:4004
0.025%
Base Card Rookie 1952 Variation
Variation
25
1:13813
<0.01%
Golden Mirror Legend Variations
Variation
50
1:27825
<0.01%
Through The Years Golden Mirror Cards
Variation
5
1:276258
<0.01%
Holiday Variation
Variation
99
N/A
—
1991 Topps Baseball
Insert
100
1:4
25.0%
2025's Greatest Hits
Insert
28
1:15
6.67%
Topps Profiles
Insert
25
1:16
6.25%
Big Ticket Players
Insert
26
1:16
6.25%
2025 All Topps Team
Insert
12
1:34
2.94%
First Pitch
Insert
9
1:45
2.22%
Heavy Lumber
Insert
20
1:3460
0.029%
Home Field Advantage
Insert
20
1:3460
0.029%
All Kings
Insert
15
1:9235
0.011%
All Aces
Insert
10
1:13836
<0.01%
Cover Athletes Cards
Insert
10
1:46043
<0.01%
Stars of MLB
Insert
30
N/A
—
Titans of the Game
Insert
20
N/A
—
1991 Topps Baseball Chrome
Insert
100
N/A
—
Dugout Peeks
Insert
29
N/A
—
Walk This Way
Insert
50
N/A
—
Mascots
Insert
29
N/A
—
Gameday Drip
Insert
19
N/A
—
Perennial All Stars
Insert
25
N/A
—
8 Bit Ballers
Insert
25
N/A
—
Hidden Mascots
Insert
20
N/A
—
Oversized 2026 Topps Baseball
Insert
16
N/A
—
Companion Card
Insert
16
N/A
—
Funko Base Cards
Insert
5
N/A
—
Fanatics Authentic Redemption Cards
Insert
30
N/A
—
1991 Topps Baseball Autograph Cards
Auto
182
1:190
0.526%
Baseball Stars Autographs
Auto
82
1:439
0.228%
Flagship Real One Autograph Cards
Auto
52
1:1246
0.080%
75 Years of Topps Die Cut Autographs
Auto
75
1:3184
0.031%
Cover Athletes Autograph Cards
Auto
10
N/A
—
75 Years of Topps Baseball Autographs
Auto
13
N/A
—
Base Card 1952 Autograph Variation
Auto
21
N/A
—
Topps Autograph Card – Jerry Seinfeld
Auto
1
N/A
—
Signature Tunes Dual Autographs
Auto
1
N/A
—
First Pitch Autograph Parallel
Auto
9
N/A
—
Funko Pop Autograph Parallel
Auto
2
N/A
—
1991 Topps Baseball Relics
Relic
90
1:77
1.30%
Major League Material Cards
Relic
85
1:91
1.10%
City Connect Swatch Collection
Relic
48
1:376
0.266%
Real One Relics
Relic
78
1:1030
0.097%
In the Name Relics
Relic
56
1:20573
<0.01%
Mascot Relics
Relic
20
N/A
—
Expected Pulls Calculator
Combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category.
Guaranteed
Base Cards
In every pack
0.668%
Variations
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
49.4%
Inserts
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
0.866%
Autographs
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
2.77%
Relics & Patches
Combined odds across all groups (per pack)
Note: Percentages represent the combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category. These are statistical averages — actual results vary. Relics and Patch Autos without published odds are not included.
Box Type Comparison
Key pulls side-by-side across all box types.
Card Group
Base Cards350 cards
Rookie Auto Variation
Rookie Patch Auto
Shadow Etch
Helix
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